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Summary for Tropical Depression JAVIER (EP1/EP112016)
2016-08-09 16:33:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JAVIER EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SOON... As of 9:00 AM MDT Tue Aug 9 the center of JAVIER was located near 23.8, -111.2 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression JAVIER Public Advisory Number 10
2016-08-09 16:33:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 091433 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 900 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 ...JAVIER EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SOON... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.8N 111.2W ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM SE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Javier was located near latitude 23.8 North, longitude 111.2 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center will continue to move near or over the southern Baja California peninsula for the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Javier is likely to become a remnant low by Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches over Baja California Sur and northwest Mexico through Thursday morning, with maximum amounts of up to 8 inches possible. Moisture partially related to Javier has spread into Arizona and New Mexico, where 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated amounts of up to 8 inches, are possible through Thursday. The expected rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Depression JAVIER Forecast Advisory Number 10
2016-08-09 16:33:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 09 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 091433 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 1500 UTC TUE AUG 09 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 111.2W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 111.2W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 110.9W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.8N 112.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 26.1N 113.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 113.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 111.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Depression JAVIER Graphics
2016-08-09 13:52:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 09 Aug 2016 11:52:41 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 09 Aug 2016 09:04:35 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression JAVIER (EP1/EP112016)
2016-08-09 13:51:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS THAT JAVIER HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 6:00 AM MDT Tue Aug 9 the center of JAVIER was located near 23.4, -110.6 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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