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Tropical Storm JAVIER Forecast Advisory Number 9

2016-08-09 10:42:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 09 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 090842 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 0900 UTC TUE AUG 09 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO * CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 110.4W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 110.4W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 110.2W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.3N 111.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.6N 112.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.6N 113.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.2N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 110.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm JAVIER Graphics

2016-08-09 07:46:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 09 Aug 2016 05:46:51 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 09 Aug 2016 03:04:35 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm JAVIER (EP1/EP112016)

2016-08-09 07:45:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...JAVIER WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE... As of 12:00 AM MDT Tue Aug 9 the center of JAVIER was located near 22.8, -110.1 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm JAVIER Public Advisory Number 8A

2016-08-09 07:45:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1200 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 090545 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 1200 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 ...JAVIER WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.8N 110.1W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * San Evaristo to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * San Evaristo to Loreto * Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 22.8 North, longitude 110.1 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Javier will move near the west coast of Baja California Sur through Tuesday night. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next day or two. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over Baja California Sur and coastal parts of the Mexican states of Sinaloa and southern Sonora through Wednesday morning, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula this morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area later today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown

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