je.st
news
Tag: dorian
Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 52
2019-09-06 10:47:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 060847 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 52 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0900 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 10(27) X(27) X(27) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 30(30) 25(55) X(55) X(55) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 53(53) 24(77) X(77) X(77) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 22(31) X(31) X(31) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 75(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 73(75) 3(78) X(78) X(78) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 24(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 11(11) 39(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 14(14) 74(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 41(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 53(53) 13(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 10(10) 9(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X 13(13) 7(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 19(19) 12(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) NANTUCKET MA 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HARTFORD CT 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 10(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ISLIP NY 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NWS EARLE NJ 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALLENTOWN PA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BALTIMORE MD 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WASHINGTON DC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 6 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) OCEAN CITY MD 34 9 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) PAX RIVER NAS 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) RICHMOND VA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DANVILLE VA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ELIZABETH CTY 34 61 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) RALEIGH NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 64 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) FAYETTEVILLE 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FLORENCE SC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
speed
wind
hurricane
Hurricane Dorian Forecast Advisory Number 52
2019-09-06 10:46:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 060846 TCMAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0900 UTC FRI SEP 06 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER...SC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET. THE STORM SURGE WARNING SOUTH OF SURF CITY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SURF CITY NC TO POQUOSON VA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS * HAMPTON ROADS A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LITTLE RIVER INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NOVA SCOTIA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET * NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO FENWICK ISLAND DE * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT SOUTHWARD * TIDAL POTOMAC SOUTH OF COBB ISLAND * WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH MA * NANTUCKET AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD MA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * MAGDALEN ISLANDS * FUNDY NATIONAL PARK TO SHEDIAC. * FRANCOIS TO BOAT HARBOUR. A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 76.2W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 40NW. 34 KT.......170NE 190SE 140SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 270SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 76.2W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 76.9W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 36.0N 74.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 38.8N 69.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 220SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.5N 65.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 240SE 180SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 46.7N 61.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 53.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 270SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 58.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.6N 76.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 06/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
hurricane
Hurricane Dorian Update Statement
2019-09-06 09:56:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM EDT Fri Sep 06 2019 078 WTNT65 KNHC 060756 TCUAT5 Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 400 AM EDT Fri Sep 06 2019 ...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA... A NOAA weather station at Cape Lookout, North Carolina, located inside the western portion of Dorian's eye, recently reported a 10-minute average wind of 63 mph (79 km/h). This is equivalent to a 1-minute sustained wind speed of 69 mph (111 km/h). A wind gust to 75 mph (120 km/h) was also reported. However, this weather station has not reported any data since 300 am EDT. A Weatherflow station at Fort Macon near Atlantic Beach, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 64 mph (103 km/h) and a gust to 85 mph (137 km/h). SUMMARY OF 400 AM EDT...0800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.4N 76.5W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: statement
update
hurricane
update statement
Summary for Hurricane Dorian (AT5/AL052019)
2019-09-06 09:56:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA... As of 4:00 AM EDT Fri Sep 6 the center of Dorian was located near 34.4, -76.5 with movement NE at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 956 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
Tags: summary
hurricane
at5al052019
dorian
Hurricane Dorian Update Statement
2019-09-06 08:55:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM EDT Fri Sep 06 2019 799 WTNT65 KNHC 060654 TCUAT5 Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 100 AM EDT Fri Sep 06 2019 ...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING JUST OFFSHORE OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA... A Weatherflow station at Fort Macon near Atlantic Beach, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 53 mph (85 km/h) and a wind gust to 68 mph (109 km/h), while a NOAA weather station at Cape Lookout, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 49 mph (79 km/h) and a wind gust to 56 mph (90 km/h). SUMMARY OF 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.3N 76.7W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: statement
update
hurricane
update statement
Sites : [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] next »