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Hurricane Dorian Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
2019-09-01 16:58:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Sun, 01 Sep 2019 14:58:56 GMT
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Hurricane Dorian Graphics
2019-09-01 16:58:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 01 Sep 2019 14:58:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 01 Sep 2019 15:24:46 GMT
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Hurricane Dorian Graphics
2019-09-01 16:58:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 01 Sep 2019 14:58:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 01 Sep 2019 14:58:14 GMT
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Hurricane Dorian Forecast Discussion Number 33
2019-09-01 16:57:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019 000 WTNT45 KNHC 011457 TCDAT5 Hurricane Dorian Discussion Number 33 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019 Air Force and NOAA reconnaissance planes penetrated the distinct eye of Dorian, and found that the hurricane has become extremely intense with a stadium effect in the eye. The NOAA plane reported a peak flight-level wind of 159 kt, while the SFMR from both planes have measured winds between 155 and 170 kt. A dropsonde from the NOAA plane measured a wind gust of 176 kt at the surface. A blend of these measurements yield to an initial intensity of 155 kt, making Dorian the strongest hurricane on record in the northwestern Bahamas. For the next few days, Dorian should experience some fluctuations in intensity, and in addition to eyewall replacement cyclone, the interaction with the northwestern Bahamas should weaken the hurricane slightly. After 3 days, as Dorian moves northward along or offshore of southeast United States coast, the shear is forecast to increase, resulting in a more distinct gradual weakening. Reconnaissance plane and satellite fixes indicate that Dorian, as anticipated, has slowed down and is moving toward the west or 270 degrees at 6 kt. The steering currents are collapsing and Dorian is expected to slow down even more, prolonging its catastrophic effects in the northwestern Bahamas. The NHC forecast calls for a slow west to west-northwest motion during the next 48 hours, with a turn to the north and an increase in forward speed as the mid-level trough along the eastern United States deepens and becomes the dominant steering feature. The current forecast is only a few miles west of the previous one and is basically on top of the multi-model consensus. Both the deterministic and consensus tracks have shown the usual variability to the right or to the left from run to run, but the overall trend is for the hurricane to turn northward offshore but very close to the Florida peninsula. Given the uncertainty in the track forecast and the anticipated increase in size of the hurricane, a Hurricane Watch and Storm Surge Watch have been issued for a portion of the east Florida coast. It is emphasized that although the official track forecast does not show landfall, users should not focus on the exact track. A small deviation to the left of the track could bring the intense core of the hurricane its dangerous winds closer to or onto the coast. Key Messages: 1. A prolonged period of catastrophic winds and storm surge will affect the Abaco Islands today. Everyone there should take immediate shelter and not venture into the eye. These catastrophic conditions are likely on Grand Bahama Island later today or tonight, and efforts to protect life and property there should be rushed to completion. 2. Storm surge and hurricane watches and tropical storm warnings are in effect for portions of the Florida east coast. Life-threatening storm surge and dangerous hurricane-force winds are possible along portions of the Florida east coast through mid-week, as only a slight deviation to the left of the official forecast would bring the core of Dorian near or over the coast. Residents should listen to advice given by local emergency officials. 3. There is an increasing likelihood of strong winds and dangerous storm surge along the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina later this week. Residents in these areas should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian. 4. Heavy rains, capable of producing life-threatening flash floods, are possible over northern portions of the Bahamas and coastal sections of the southeast and lower mid-Atlantic regions of the United States through late this week. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/1500Z 26.5N 76.8W 155 KT 180 MPH 12H 02/0000Z 26.6N 77.7W 150 KT 175 MPH 24H 02/1200Z 26.8N 78.5W 145 KT 165 MPH 36H 03/0000Z 27.0N 79.0W 135 KT 155 MPH 48H 03/1200Z 27.4N 79.4W 120 KT 140 MPH 72H 04/1200Z 29.7N 80.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 96H 05/1200Z 32.5N 79.0W 85 KT 100 MPH 120H 06/1200Z 35.5N 74.5W 80 KT 90 MPH $$ Forecaster Avila
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Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33
2019-09-01 16:56:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 011456 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 01 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 155 KTS...180 MPH...285 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 18(25) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 44(59) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 33(35) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 13(31) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 33(49) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 39(62) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 30(36) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 35(61) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 28(35) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 28(52) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 25(52) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 37(47) 20(67) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 19(38) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 7(37) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 3(26) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 33(38) 17(55) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 39(53) 13(66) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 8(31) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 39(47) 9(56) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 5(24) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 39(53) 4(57) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 3(26) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 36(55) 2(57) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 1(24) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) 1(23) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 19(22) 31(53) 1(54) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) X(22) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 36(43) 20(63) 1(64) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 15(27) X(27) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18(22) 17(39) X(39) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 10(16) 50(66) 14(80) 1(81) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 18(45) 1(46) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 12(24) X(24) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 36(44) 16(60) 1(61) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 10(22) 1(23) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 26(35) 8(43) X(43) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 2( 3) 7(10) 19(29) 46(75) 5(80) X(80) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 32(39) 4(43) 1(44) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) THE VILLAGES 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 12(19) 30(49) 6(55) X(55) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 11(14) 2(16) X(16) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 1 3( 4) 14(18) 24(42) 31(73) 3(76) X(76) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 23(34) 2(36) X(36) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 11(13) 1(14) X(14) COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 25(27) 39(66) 20(86) 12(98) X(98) X(98) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X 2( 2) 15(17) 27(44) 32(76) 2(78) X(78) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 30(50) 1(51) X(51) PATRICK AFB 34 2 8(10) 34(44) 25(69) 22(91) 2(93) X(93) PATRICK AFB 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 21(30) 32(62) 1(63) X(63) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 22(32) 1(33) X(33) FT PIERCE FL 34 4 57(61) 28(89) 7(96) 3(99) 1(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 1 9(10) 38(48) 22(70) 15(85) 1(86) X(86) FT PIERCE FL 64 X 1( 1) 17(18) 24(42) 18(60) 1(61) X(61) W PALM BEACH 34 7 69(76) 18(94) 4(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) W PALM BEACH 50 1 21(22) 35(57) 15(72) 6(78) X(78) X(78) W PALM BEACH 64 X 4( 4) 22(26) 14(40) 7(47) X(47) X(47) FT LAUDERDALE 34 4 57(61) 23(84) 6(90) 3(93) X(93) X(93) FT LAUDERDALE 50 1 10(11) 24(35) 10(45) 6(51) X(51) X(51) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) MIAMI FL 34 2 16(18) 24(42) 11(53) 5(58) 1(59) X(59) MIAMI FL 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 2 7( 9) 18(27) 8(35) 7(42) 1(43) X(43) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MARATHON FL 34 1 4( 5) 7(12) 7(19) 6(25) X(25) X(25) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17) NAPLES FL 34 1 2( 3) 7(10) 9(19) 10(29) 1(30) X(30) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FT MYERS FL 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 11(22) 12(34) 1(35) X(35) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) VENICE FL 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 12(26) 2(28) X(28) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) TAMPA FL 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 17(31) 4(35) X(35) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 22(35) 7(42) X(42) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) X(14) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 4(14) X(14) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 8(10) 3(13) X(13) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) GRAND BAHAMA 34 98 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 50 57 41(98) 1(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 64 8 71(79) 9(88) 3(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 66 8(74) 4(78) 2(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 3 2( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ANDROS 34 3 4( 7) 5(12) 5(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) ANDROS 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN SALVADOR 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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