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Tropical Storm Harvey Forecast Advisory Number 3

2017-08-18 04:30:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 18 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 180230 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 0300 UTC FRI AUG 18 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MARTINIQUE * ST. LUCIA * BARBADOS * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 57.4W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 57.4W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 56.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.2N 59.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 13.6N 63.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.9N 67.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.1N 70.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.8N 78.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 16.0N 85.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 17.5N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 57.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm Harvey Graphics

2017-08-18 01:53:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 17 Aug 2017 23:53:41 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 17 Aug 2017 21:34:11 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Harvey (AT4/AL092017)

2017-08-18 01:50:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HARVEY HEADED FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... As of 8:00 PM AST Thu Aug 17 the center of Harvey was located near 12.9, -56.5 with movement W at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm Harvey Public Advisory Number 2A

2017-08-18 01:50:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM AST Thu Aug 17 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 172350 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Harvey Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017 800 PM AST Thu Aug 17 2017 ...HARVEY HEADED FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.9N 56.5W ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM E OF BARBADOS ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM E OF ST. LUCIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Martinique * St. Lucia * Barbados * St. Vincent and the Grenadines A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominica A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 56.5 West. Harvey is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Harvey should move through the Windward Islands and into the eastern Caribbean Sea on Friday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) to the north of the center. The latest minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the Lesser Antilles within the warning area by early Friday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area on Friday. RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches across portions of the Windward Islands from Martinique southward to Grenada. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Storm Harvey Graphics

2017-08-17 22:53:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 17 Aug 2017 20:53:49 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 17 Aug 2017 21:34:11 GMT

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