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Summary for Tropical Storm Rene (AT3/AL182020)

2020-09-08 19:45:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...OUTER BANDS OF RENE STILL AFFECTING THE NORTHWESTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS... As of 5:00 PM CVT Tue Sep 8 the center of Rene was located near 16.6, -27.2 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm Rene Public Advisory Number 6A

2020-09-08 19:45:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM CVT Tue Sep 08 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 081744 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rene Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 PM CVT Tue Sep 08 2020 ...OUTER BANDS OF RENE STILL AFFECTING THE NORTHWESTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM CVT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 27.2W ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM WSW OF SANTO ANTAO CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Verde Islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM CVT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 27.2 West. Rene is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a motion toward the west or west-northwest is expected over the next two or three days. On the forecast track, the center of Rene will continue to move away from the Cabo Verde Islands later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tonight, but gradual strengthening is forecast on Thursday and Friday. Rene is forecast to become a hurricane in a couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Rene can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml RAINFALL: Rene is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are still occurring over the western portion of the Cabo Verde Islands. These winds will subside by tonight. SURF: Swells generated by Rene are affecting portions of the Cabo Verde Islands. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM CVT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Tropical Storm Rene Graphics

2020-09-08 19:45:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2020 17:45:03 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2020 15:31:53 GMT

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Tropical Storm Rene Graphics

2020-09-08 16:33:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2020 14:33:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2020 15:31:53 GMT

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Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Discussion Number 6

2020-09-08 16:32:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 PM CVT Tue Sep 08 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 081431 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Rene Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 200 PM CVT Tue Sep 08 2020 Rene is starting to pull away from the Cabo Verde Islands, though some of the outer rainbands are affecting the far northwestern islands. Although the tropical storm has a well-defined circulation, the convective banding features have not become any better organized since yesterday. The satellite classifications are largely unchanged and range from 25 to 37 kt, and a recent ASCAT-B pass showed maximum winds in the 30-35 kt range. Based on all of this data, the initial intensity is again held at 35 kt. The tropical storm is moving westward at a faster pace of 14 kt. A mid-level ridge to the north of Rene is expected to build westward, which should cause the cyclone to move westward to west-northwestward at about the same forward speed during the next couple of days. After that time, the storm is expected to slow down and turn northwestward and then northward as it moves into a pronounced weakness in the ridge. Although the models agree on the overall scenario, there are notable differences in where and how sharply Rene will recurve with the GFS on the right side of the guidance and the ECMWF on the left. The NHC track forecast is adjusted a little to the right of the previous one, but still lies closer to the left side of the guidance envelope between the HCCA and TVCA consensus aids. Although Rene has not strengthened since yesterday, the models continue to suggest that the storm will steadily strengthen during the next few days while it moves over relatively warm 26-27 C waters and remains in environment of low wind shear and high moisture. Beyond that time, increasing southwesterly wind shear and drier air should end the strengthening trend and induce gradual weakening. The NHC intensity forecast is largely an update of the previous one and lies near the HCCA and IVCN models. Key Messages: 1. Rene is expected to produce tropical storm conditions across portions of the western Cabo Verde Islands for a few more hours. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for those islands. 2. Rene will continue to bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the western Cabo Verde Islands today. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/1500Z 16.5N 26.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 09/0000Z 16.8N 28.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 09/1200Z 17.4N 31.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 10/0000Z 18.3N 33.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 10/1200Z 19.3N 36.2W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 11/0000Z 20.5N 38.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 11/1200Z 22.1N 39.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 12/1200Z 26.5N 42.2W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 13/1200Z 29.7N 42.0W 50 KT 60 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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