je.st
news
Tag: rene
Tropical Storm Rene Graphics
2020-09-10 10:40:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 10 Sep 2020 08:40:06 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 10 Sep 2020 08:40:06 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
rene
Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Discussion Number 13
2020-09-10 10:38:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Sep 10 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 100838 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Rene Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 AM AST Thu Sep 10 2020 Several recent microwave overpasses indicate that Rene continues to be affected by easterly shear, with the low-level center located near the eastern edge of the ongoing bursting convection. Various subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates are in the 35-45 kt range and have changed little since the last advisory. Based on that, the initial intensity remains 35 kt. The initial motion is west-northwestward or 285/9 kt. There is no change in the overall track forecast philosophy. Rene should move generally west-northwestward for the next couple of days, followed by a turn toward the northwest into a weakness in the subtropical ridge partly caused by Tropical Storm Paulette. Late in the forecast period, the track forecast becomes more problematic due to uncertainties in how much ridging will build north of Rene and how close it will be to the larger Paulette. The track guidance during this time shows increasing spread and some westward shift from the previous advisory. The new NHC forecast track is similar to the previous track through 72 h, then it lies to the left of the previous track at 96 and 120 h. However, at these times, it lies to the right of the various consensus models. The shear should gradually diminish during the next 48-60 h, and this should allow Rene to strengthen to or near hurricane strength. After that time, strong west-northwesterly shear is expected to cause gradual weakening despite the cyclone moving over increasing sea surface temperatures. The new official intensity forecast is unchanged from the previous forecast. It lies near the various intensity consensus models through 72 h, but is weaker than those models at 96 and 120 h. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/0900Z 18.2N 34.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 10/1800Z 18.6N 36.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 11/0600Z 19.1N 38.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 11/1800Z 19.8N 40.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 12/0600Z 21.0N 42.2W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 12/1800Z 22.4N 44.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 13/0600Z 24.1N 45.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 14/0600Z 27.0N 47.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 15/0600Z 28.6N 49.0W 40 KT 45 MPH $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm Rene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2020-09-10 10:38:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 100838 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM RENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 0900 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Summary for Tropical Storm Rene (AT3/AL182020)
2020-09-10 10:38:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...RENE CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 AM AST Thu Sep 10 the center of Rene was located near 18.2, -34.8 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
rene
Tropical Storm Rene Public Advisory Number 13
2020-09-10 10:38:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Sep 10 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 100838 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rene Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 AM AST Thu Sep 10 2020 ...RENE CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 34.8W ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 34.8 West. Rene is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue for a couple of days, followed by a turn toward the northwest. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Rene is expected to be near hurricane strength by Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Sites : [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] next »