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Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Advisory Number 11
2020-09-09 22:32:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2020 393 WTNT23 KNHC 092032 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 32.7W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 32.7W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 32.2W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.4N 34.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.9N 36.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.5N 38.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.5N 40.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.7N 42.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.5N 43.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 26.9N 46.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 28.5N 47.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 32.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Rene Graphics
2020-09-09 16:33:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 14:33:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 14:33:15 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Rene (AT3/AL182020)
2020-09-09 16:31:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...RENE RESTRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM... As of 11:00 AM AST Wed Sep 9 the center of Rene was located near 17.6, -31.5 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Rene Public Advisory Number 10
2020-09-09 16:31:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 091431 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rene Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 ...RENE RESTRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.6N 31.5W ABOUT 510 MI...815 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 31.5 West. Rene is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a motion toward the west-northwest is expected for the next couple of days, followed by a turn to the northwest. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Discussion Number 10
2020-09-09 16:31:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 091431 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Rene Discussion Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 Although easterly shear has been affecting the system, Rene is producing vigorous deep convection, along with a broad convective band, over its western semicircle. Scatterometer data indicate winds to 35 knots over the northwestern quadrant, and therefore the system is again being designated as a tropical storm. The cyclone should be within an environment of moderate vertical shear, on the western side of an upper-level anticyclone, for the next couple of days. Therefore, gradual strengthening is forecast, and Rene is expected to become a hurricane late this week. By the weekend, increasing westerly shear should cause weakening. The official intensity forecast is a little above the model consensus. Rene is currently moving west-northwestward, or 285/11 kt, on the southern side of a mid-level ridge. A weakness in the ridge near 40W longitude is likely to cause the storm to turn toward the northwest in 2 to 3 days, followed by a turn toward the north-northwest. By the end of the forecast period, Rene's forward progress should slow as it encounters a block in the mid-level flow. As anticipated, the official track forecast is shifted to the left of the previous one, but not as far to the left as the latest corrected multi-model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/1500Z 17.6N 31.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 10/0000Z 18.1N 33.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 10/1200Z 18.8N 35.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 11/0000Z 19.5N 37.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 11/1200Z 20.4N 39.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 12/0000Z 21.7N 40.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 12/1200Z 23.5N 42.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 13/1200Z 27.0N 44.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 14/1200Z 28.7N 45.0W 40 KT 45 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
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