je.st
news
Tag: rene
Tropical Storm Rene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2020-09-09 16:31:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 091431 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM RENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Advisory Number 10
2020-09-09 16:31:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 091431 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 31.5W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 31.5W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 31.0W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.1N 33.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.8N 35.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.5N 37.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.4N 39.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.7N 40.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.5N 42.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 27.0N 44.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 28.7N 45.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 31.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Rene Graphics
2020-09-09 10:49:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 08:49:25 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 08:49:25 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
rene
Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Discussion Number 9
2020-09-09 10:46:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 090846 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 AM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 Satellite imagery indicates that convection associated with Rene is increasing and becoming better organized, with a broad convective band forming in the western semicircle. Satellite intensity estimates indicate that the cyclone is close to regaining tropical storm strength, but the initial intensity will be held at 30 kt to see if the convection persists and what upcoming scatterometer data shows. The initial motion is west-northwestward or 285/12 kt. There is little change in the forecast philosophy for the first 48-60 h of the forecast, with Rene expected to continue west-northwestward. This part of the new forecast track is similar to the previous track. After 60 h, much of the track guidance has shifted significantly to the left and shows less of a northward turn by 96-120 hr. This shift has left the GFS and the old forecast on the right side of the guidance envelope. This part of the new forecast track is moved to the left of the previous track, but it lies to the right of the various consensus models. If the current guidance trends continue, additional westward shifts of the later part of the forecast track may be necessary in subsequent advisories, Conditions appear generally favorable for Rene to strengthen during the next 48-60 h, although the cyclone will be moving over sea surface temperatures of near 26.5C during that time. The intensity forecast calls for Rene to re-intensify and become a hurricane by the 60 h point. After that, the cyclone is likely to encounter moderate to strong northwesterly shear which should cause weakening. The new intensity forecast is unchanged since the previous forecast, and it lies between the ICON and HCCA intensity consensus forecasts. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/0900Z 17.4N 30.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 09/1800Z 17.9N 32.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 10/0600Z 18.7N 34.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 10/1800Z 19.6N 36.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 11/0600Z 20.8N 38.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 11/1800Z 22.2N 40.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 12/0600Z 24.2N 41.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 13/0600Z 28.0N 43.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 14/0600Z 30.0N 42.5W 40 KT 45 MPH $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Summary for Tropical Depression Rene (AT3/AL182020)
2020-09-09 10:46:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...RENE EXPECTED TO REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS LATER TODAY... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Sep 9 the center of Rene was located near 17.4, -30.5 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
rene
Sites : [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] next »