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Tropical Storm Rene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2020-09-08 16:31:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 08 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 081431 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM RENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 1500 UTC TUE SEP 08 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Summary for Tropical Storm Rene (AT3/AL182020)

2020-09-08 16:31:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...RENE STILL BRINGING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE WESTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS... As of 2:00 PM CVT Tue Sep 8 the center of Rene was located near 16.5, -26.5 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm Rene Public Advisory Number 6

2020-09-08 16:31:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 PM CVT Tue Sep 08 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 081431 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rene Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 200 PM CVT Tue Sep 08 2020 ...RENE STILL BRINGING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE WESTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM CVT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 26.5W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WNW OF SANTO ANTAO CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Verde Islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM CVT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 26.5 West. Rene is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a motion toward the west to west-northwest is expected over the next two or three days. On the forecast track, the center of Rene will move away from the Cabo Verde Islands later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, followed by gradual strengthening on Thursday and Friday. Rene is forecast to become a hurricane in a couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Rene can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml RAINFALL: Rene is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are still occurring over the western portion of the Cabo Verde Islands. These winds will subside later today. SURF: Swells generated by Rene are affecting portions of the Cabo Verde Islands. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 500 PM CVT. Next complete advisory at 800 PM CVT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Advisory Number 6

2020-09-08 16:31:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 08 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 081431 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 1500 UTC TUE SEP 08 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO VERDE ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 26.5W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 26.5W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 25.8W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.8N 28.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.4N 31.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.3N 33.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.3N 36.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.5N 38.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.1N 39.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 26.5N 42.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 29.7N 42.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 26.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 08/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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