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Tropical Storm Rene Public Advisory Number 12
2020-09-10 04:33:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 190 WTNT33 KNHC 100233 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rene Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 PM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 ...RENE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 34.0W ABOUT 675 MI...1085 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 34.0 West. Rene is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a motion toward the west-northwest is expected for the next couple of days, followed by a turn to the northwest. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Rene is expected to be near hurricane strength by Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Advisory Number 12
2020-09-10 04:33:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 100233 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 34.0W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 34.0W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 33.5W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.4N 35.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.9N 37.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.4N 39.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.5N 41.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.8N 43.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N 45.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 26.8N 46.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 28.3N 47.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 34.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm Rene Graphics
2020-09-09 22:36:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 20:36:11 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 20:36:11 GMT
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Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Discussion Number 11
2020-09-09 22:34:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 092034 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Rene Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 PM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 Although the cloud pattern of Rene has changed little in overall organization since earlier today, there are some indications that the easterly shear over the storm has diminished somewhat. Cirrus cloud motions show that upper-level outflow is slightly more evident over the eastern portion of the circulation, but it remains limited over that region. The current intensity estimate remains 35 kt in agreement with a Dvorak estimate from TAFB. Vertical shear is predicted to be modest over Rene during the next couple of days, and this should allow for some strengthening. The official intensity forecast is similar to the model consensus and continues to show the system becoming a hurricane, albeit briefly. After day 3, the western portion of a large upper-level trough over the eastern Atlantic is likely to impart increased shear, which should lead to weakening. Conventional satellite and microwave fixes show a continued west-northwestward motion at about 285/11 kt. Rene is currently located on the southwest side of a mid-level ridge over the eastern Atlantic. A weakness in the ridge in the vicinity of 40W-45W longitude should induce a turn toward the northwest and north-northwest in 3-5 days. By the end of the forecast period, Rene's forward progress begins to be blocked by building mid-level heights to its north and northwest, which should cause the cyclone's forward motion to slow down significantly. The official track forecast has been adjusted farther to the left of the previous one, to be closer to the latest model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/2100Z 18.0N 32.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 10/0600Z 18.4N 34.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 10/1800Z 18.9N 36.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 11/0600Z 19.5N 38.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 11/1800Z 20.5N 40.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 12/0600Z 21.7N 42.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 12/1800Z 23.5N 43.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 13/1800Z 26.9N 46.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 14/1800Z 28.5N 47.0W 40 KT 45 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Summary for Tropical Storm Rene (AT3/AL182020)
2020-09-09 22:33:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...RENE SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 5:00 PM AST Wed Sep 9 the center of Rene was located near 18.0, -32.7 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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