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Hurricane Paulette Public Advisory Number 31

2020-09-14 16:53:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 14 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 141453 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Paulette Advisory Number 31 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 14 2020 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL CONTINUE OVER BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.2N 64.8W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM N OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are occurring on Bermuda in the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Paulette was located near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 64.8 West. Paulette is moving toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion should continue into this afternoon. A turn toward the northeast is expected later tonight followed by a turn toward the east-northeast and an increase in forward speed Tuesday night through Friday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening through Tuesday night is likely as Paultette acclerates northeastward to east-northeastward. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). A weather station in Wreck Road, Bermuda recently reported a sustained wind of 80 mph (130 km/h) and a gust to 107 mph (170 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions should persist into the mid afternoon hours. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves into this afternoon. RAIN: Paulette will bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through today, with rainfall of 3 to 6 inches expected. SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the United States. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Hurricane Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 31

2020-09-14 16:50:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 141450 TCMAT2 HURRICANE PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 1500 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON BERMUDA IN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 64.8W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 30SW 80NW. 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 64.7W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 64.9W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 35.1N 63.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 37.5N 59.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 40.1N 54.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 42.9N 47.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 45.5N 41.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 220SE 170SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 47.1N 36.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 220SE 180SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 45.5N 33.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 40.1N 32.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 64.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 14/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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Hurricane Paulette Update Statement

2020-09-14 14:53:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 900 AM AST Mon Sep 14 2020 754 WTNT62 KNHC 141253 TCUAT2 Hurricane Paulette Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 900 AM AST Mon Sep 14 2020 ...EYE OF PAULETTE MOVING AWAY FROM THE ISLAND OF BERMUDA... ...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND TORRENTIAL RAINS STILL AFFECTING BERMUDA... The southern portion of the eyewall is currently spreading over the island of Bermuda with hurricane-force winds and torrential rains. A weather station in Wreck Road, Bermuda, recently reported a sustained wind of 65 mph (105 km/h). SUMMARY OF 900 AM AST...1300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.1N 65.0W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NNW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES This is the last hourly position update issued on Hurricane Paulette. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Summary for Hurricane Paulette (AT2/AL172020)

2020-09-14 14:53:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...EYE OF PAULETTE MOVING AWAY FROM THE ISLAND OF BERMUDA... ...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND TORRENTIAL RAINS STILL AFFECTING BERMUDA... As of 9:00 AM AST Mon Sep 14 the center of Paulette was located near 33.1, -65.0 with movement NNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 970 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.

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