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Hurricane MATTHEW Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics
2016-10-07 11:53:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Fri, 07 Oct 2016 09:53:34 GMT
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Hurricane MATTHEW Graphics
2016-10-07 11:17:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 07 Oct 2016 08:58:32 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 07 Oct 2016 09:05:38 GMT
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Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion Number 37
2016-10-07 10:57:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT FRI OCT 07 2016 000 WTNT44 KNHC 070857 TCDAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 500 AM EDT FRI OCT 07 2016 The satellite appearance of Matthew has become rather disheveled looking in infrared satellite imagery since the previous advisory. Land-based Doppler radar data indicate that Matthew has been going through an eyewall replacement cycle for the past 12 hours or so, but the inner eyewall has yet to dissipate within the 35-40 nmi wide outer eyewall. Both Doppler velocity data and recon SFMR surface winds and flight-level winds indicate that hurricane-force winds are and have been occuring within the outer eyewall just 5-10 nmi east of the Florida coastline. Although the central pressure has remained steady between 938-940 mb, the intensity has been lowered to 105 kt based on 700-mb flight-level winds of 118 kt and several patches of Doppler velocities of 120-122 kt between 5000-7500 feet. The initial motion estimate is 330/12 kt. For the next 48 hours, Matthew is expected to move northward and then northeastward around the western periphery of a deep-layer subtropical ridge. After that time, a weakening Matthew is expected to turn slowly southeastward and then southward as the cyclone gets cut off from the influence of the mid-latitude westerlies and becomes embedded within the aforementioned large-scale high pressure ridge. The latest model guidance has shifted to the left of the previous forecast track after 36 hours, and the official forecast has been nudged in that direction, but remains well to the right of the model consensus and close to the GFS-ECMWF consensus. Matthew is expected to slowly weaken some more during the next 12 hours or so while the cyclone completes the eyewall replacement cycle. By 24 hours and beyond, more significant weakening is expected due to the combination of strong southwesterly vertical shear increasing to more than 30 kt and entrainment of very dry mid-level air with humidity values less than 20 percent. The new intensity forecast closely follows the consensus model IVCN. Special thanks to the Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunters for their tireless efforts in having already completed more than 90 center or eye fixes. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Matthew is likely to produce devastating impacts from storm surge, extreme winds, and heavy rains along extensive portions of the east-central and northeast coast of Florida today. 2. Evacuations are not just a coastal event. Strong winds will occur well inland from the coast, and residents of mobile homes under evacuation orders are urged to heed those orders. 3. Hurricane winds increase very rapidly with height, and residents of high-rise buildings are at particular risk of strong winds. Winds at the top of a 30-story building will average one Saffir-Simpson category higher than the winds near the surface. 4. When a hurricane is forecast to take a track roughly parallel to a coastline, as Matthew is forecast to do from Florida through South Carolina, it becomes very difficult to specify impacts at any one location. Only a small deviation of the track to the left of the NHC forecast could bring the core of a major hurricane onshore within the hurricane warning area in Florida and Georgia. Modest deviations to the right could keep much of the hurricane-force winds offshore. Similarly large variations in impacts are possible in the hurricane watch and warning areas in northeast Georgia and South Carolina. 5. The National Hurricane Center is issuing Potential Storm Surge Flooding Maps, and Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphics for Matthew. It is important to remember that the Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map does not represent a forecast of expected inundation, but rather depicts a reasonable worst-case scenario -- the amount of inundation that has a 10 percent chance of being exceeded. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0900Z 28.2N 80.0W 105 KT 120 MPH 12H 07/1800Z 29.6N 80.6W 100 KT 115 MPH 24H 08/0600Z 31.5N 80.5W 90 KT 105 MPH 36H 08/1800Z 32.6N 79.2W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 09/0600Z 33.1N 77.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 10/0600Z 31.5N 74.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 96H 11/0600Z 29.0N 75.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 120H 12/0600Z 27.0N 76.5W 35 KT 40 MPH $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 37
2016-10-07 10:53:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT FRI OCT 07 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 070853 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 500 AM EDT FRI OCT 07 2016 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING PARALLEL TO AND JUST OFFSHORE OF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA... ...WESTERN EYEWALL WITH HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS APPROACHING CAPE CANAVERAL... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.2N 80.0W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM ESE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SE OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Warning from Jupiter Inlet south to Boca Raton has been replaced with a Tropical Storm Warning. The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued south of Boca Raton, as well as for Lake Okeechobee. The Tropical Storm Watch has been discontinued south of Anna Maria Island. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence * Jupiter Inlet to South Santee River A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Anclote River to Suwannee River * North of South Santee River to Surf City * Boca Raton to Jupiter Inlet A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Anna Maria Island to Anclote River Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula and in the Carolinas should monitor the progress of Matthew. The Hurricane Warning for the Northwestern Bahamas will likely be discontinued later this morning. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm- force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located by NOAA Doppler weather radars and an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 28.2 North, longitude 80.0 West. Matthew is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the north is expected tonight or Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will be moving near or over the east coast of the Florida peninsula through tonight, and near or over the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, Matthew is expected to be a category 3 hurricane as it moves near the coast of Florida today. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). During the past hour, a sustained wind of 49 mph (80 km/h) with a gust to 74 mph (118 km/h) was reported at Vero Beach, Florida. A sustained wind of 47 mph (76 km/h) with a gust to 69 mph (111 km/h) was reported at Melbourne, Florida. NOAA buoy 41009 off Cape Canaveral recently reported a sustained wind of 65 mph (104 km/h) with a gust to 78 mph (126 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure reported by the reconnaissance aircraft was 938 mb (27.70 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions should diminish over portions of the northwestern Bahamas this morning. Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane warning area in Florida during the next several hours and will spread northward within the warning area through today. Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northward in the warning area along the Florida east coast today. Hurricane conditions are expected to spread northward in the warning area in Georgia and South Carolina tonight and Saturday with tropical storm conditions expected later today. Winds increase rapidly in elevation in a tropical cyclone. Residents in high-rise buildings should be aware that the winds at the top of a 30-story building will be, on average, about one Saffir-Simpson category higher than the winds near the surface. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area in the Carolinas tonight and Saturday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge, the tide, and large and destructive waves will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Sebastian Inlet, Florida, to Edisto Beach, South Carolina, including portions of the St. Johns River...7 to 11 ft Edisto Beach to South Santee River, South Carolina...4 to 6 ft Jupiter Inlet to Sebastian Inlet, Florida...4 to 6 ft South Santee River, South Carolina, to Cape Fear, North Carolina...2 to 4 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of the center. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. Water levels in the northwestern Bahamas should continue to subside during the day. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the Florida east coast, the Georgia coast, and the South Carolina coast from Jupiter Inlet, Florida, to South Santee River, South Carolina. There is the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours from north of South Santee River, South Carolina, to Cape Fear, North Carolina. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available at hurricanes.gov. RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over the northwestern Bahamas...with isolated maximum storm-total amounts of 15 inches. Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over the Atlantic coast of the United States from central Florida to eastern North Carolina...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches. This rainfall may result in flooding and flash flooding. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible along the east-central Florida coast today. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions of the north coast of Cuba and the Bahamas during the next few days, and will spread northward along the east coast of Florida and the southeast U.S. coast through the weekend. These swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 37
2016-10-07 10:53:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 070853 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DANVILLE VA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 4(14) X(14) 1(15) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) RALEIGH NC 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 12(20) 8(28) 1(29) X(29) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 6( 6) 20(26) 9(35) 2(37) 1(38) X(38) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 6( 6) 5(11) 2(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 4( 4) 16(20) 17(37) 7(44) 1(45) X(45) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 3( 3) 16(19) 19(38) 9(47) 1(48) X(48) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 4( 4) 18(22) 18(40) 8(48) 1(49) X(49) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SURF CITY NC 34 X 8( 8) 28(36) 15(51) 8(59) X(59) X(59) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 1 9(10) 33(43) 13(56) 7(63) X(63) X(63) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 2 16(18) 37(55) 13(68) 5(73) X(73) X(73) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 1( 1) 16(17) 14(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) FLORENCE SC 34 2 22(24) 28(52) 6(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) FLORENCE SC 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) COLUMBIA SC 34 2 22(24) 15(39) 3(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) COLUMBIA SC 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 2 24(26) 35(61) 10(71) 3(74) X(74) X(74) LITTLE RIVER 50 X 1( 1) 19(20) 11(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MYRTLE BEACH 34 2 33(35) 34(69) 7(76) 2(78) X(78) X(78) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 2( 2) 24(26) 10(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GEORGETOWN SC 34 3 47(50) 29(79) 3(82) 2(84) X(84) X(84) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 5( 5) 34(39) 7(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) CHARLESTON SC 34 5 68(73) 16(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 21(21) 33(54) 2(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) CHARLESTON SC 64 X 6( 6) 22(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 10 75(85) 6(91) X(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 1 39(40) 20(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X 17(17) 15(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) ATLANTA GA 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 23(25) 9(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) AUGUSTA GA 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 18 70(88) 3(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) SAVANNAH GA 50 2 48(50) 10(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) SAVANNAH GA 64 X 23(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) KINGS BAY GA 34 80 17(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) KINGS BAY GA 50 15 53(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) KINGS BAY GA 64 4 37(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) WAYCROSS GA 34 21 46(67) 3(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) WAYCROSS GA 50 2 9(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) WAYCROSS GA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MAYPORT NS FL 34 90 9(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYPORT NS FL 50 36 41(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) MAYPORT NS FL 64 11 40(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) JACKSONVILLE 34 82 13(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) JACKSONVILLE 50 20 40(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) JACKSONVILLE 64 5 20(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) GAINESVILLE FL 34 57 6(63) 2(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) GAINESVILLE FL 50 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GAINESVILLE FL 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 50 87 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) DAYTONA BEACH 64 54 X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) THE VILLAGES 34 62 1(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) THE VILLAGES 50 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) THE VILLAGES 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ORLANDO FL 50 21 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ORLANDO FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 64 56 X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 64 51 X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT LAUDERDALE 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) MIAMI FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) MARATHON FL 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NAPLES FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) FT MYERS FL 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) VENICE FL 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TAMPA FL 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 1(10) CEDAR KEY FL 34 7 4(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ST MARKS FL 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) APALACHICOLA 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBUS GA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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