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Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 36
2016-10-07 04:56:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 070256 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 5(15) 1(16) X(16) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 10(21) 2(23) X(23) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 14(27) 6(33) X(33) X(33) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 16(24) 11(35) 2(37) X(37) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 16(23) 14(37) 2(39) X(39) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 18(26) 13(39) 2(41) X(41) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SURF CITY NC 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) 23(39) 11(50) 1(51) X(51) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 3( 3) 16(19) 24(43) 10(53) 2(55) X(55) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 5( 5) 23(28) 26(54) 11(65) 2(67) X(67) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 9(26) X(26) X(26) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FLORENCE SC 34 X 5( 5) 26(31) 15(46) 6(52) 1(53) X(53) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 6( 6) 22(28) 9(37) 3(40) X(40) X(40) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 6( 6) 29(35) 22(57) 8(65) 1(66) X(66) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 8( 8) 36(44) 18(62) 7(69) 1(70) X(70) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 6(29) X(29) X(29) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GEORGETOWN SC 34 1 14(15) 39(54) 17(71) 5(76) 1(77) X(77) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) 15(15) 17(32) 5(37) X(37) X(37) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) CHARLESTON SC 34 2 30(32) 37(69) 9(78) 3(81) X(81) X(81) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 2( 2) 28(30) 14(44) 3(47) X(47) X(47) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 14(14) 10(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 2 45(47) 30(77) 5(82) 2(84) X(84) X(84) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 5( 5) 37(42) 6(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X 1( 1) 18(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ATLANTA GA 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA GA 34 1 8( 9) 19(28) 5(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 3 55(58) 23(81) 3(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) SAVANNAH GA 50 X 11(11) 33(44) 4(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) SAVANNAH GA 64 X 3( 3) 17(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) KINGS BAY GA 34 12 77(89) 5(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) KINGS BAY GA 50 1 54(55) 13(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) KINGS BAY GA 64 X 29(29) 12(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) WAYCROSS GA 34 3 56(59) 13(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) 1(75) WAYCROSS GA 50 X 11(11) 6(17) X(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) WAYCROSS GA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MAYPORT NS FL 34 27 67(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) MAYPORT NS FL 50 2 64(66) 8(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X 41(41) 10(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) JACKSONVILLE 34 17 73(90) 3(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) JACKSONVILLE 50 2 54(56) 9(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) JACKSONVILLE 64 X 25(25) 6(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) GAINESVILLE FL 34 19 55(74) 3(77) 1(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) GAINESVILLE FL 50 2 12(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) DAYTONA BEACH 34 93 6(99) X(99) X(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 50 46 41(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) DAYTONA BEACH 64 15 49(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) THE VILLAGES 34 58 22(80) 1(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) THE VILLAGES 50 4 14(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) THE VILLAGES 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ORLANDO FL 34 93 2(95) X(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) ORLANDO FL 50 43 10(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) ORLANDO FL 64 9 9(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 50 90 2(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) COCOA BEACH FL 64 64 4(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 50 90 2(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) PATRICK AFB 64 62 3(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 1(66) X(66) FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) FT PIERCE FL 64 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) 1(42) X(42) W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) W PALM BEACH 50 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 1(26) W PALM BEACH 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FT LAUDERDALE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MIAMI FL 34 8 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 2(13) 2(15) MARATHON FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 3( 6) KEY WEST FL 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) NAPLES FL 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) FT MYERS FL 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) 2(11) VENICE FL 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) TAMPA FL 34 12 7(19) 3(22) 1(23) X(23) 1(24) 1(25) TAMPA FL 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 5 20(25) 3(28) 1(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) CEDAR KEY FL 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) ST MARKS FL 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) APALACHICOLA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) ANDROS 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 36
2016-10-07 04:56:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT THU OCT 06 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 070256 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1100 PM EDT THU OCT 06 2016 ...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS AND TOWARD THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.1N 79.2W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM NNW OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for Florida Bay and the Florida Keys. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence * Boca Raton to South Santee River * Lake Okeechobee A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ocean Reef to south of Boca Raton * Anclote River to Suwannee River * North of South Santee River to Surf City A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Englewood to Anclote River Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula and in the Carolinas should monitor the progress of Matthew. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm- force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located by NOAA Doppler weather radars and an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 27.1 North, longitude 79.2 West. Matthew is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Friday, and a turn toward the north expected Friday night or Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will be moving near or over the east coast of the Florida peninsula through Friday night, and near or over the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. A gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. However, Matthew is expected to be a category 3 or stronger hurricane as it moves near the coast of Florida. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The latest minimum central pressure reported by the reconnaissance aircraft was 939 mb (27.73 inches). An automated station on the west end of Grand Bahama Island recently reported a pressure of 943.1 mb (27.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions should diminish over portions of the northwestern Bahamas tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane warning area in Florida during the next several hours and will spread northward within the warning area through Friday. Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northward in the warning area along the Florida east coast tonight and Friday. Hurricane conditions are expected to spread northward in the warning area in Georgia and South Carolina Friday night and Saturday with tropical storm conditions expected on Friday. Winds increase rapidly in elevation in a tropical cyclone. Residents in high-rise buildings should be aware that the winds at the top of a 30-story building will be, on average, about one Saffir-Simpson category higher than the winds near the surface. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area in the Carolinas on Friday night and Saturday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the following amounts above normal tide levels... Northwestern Bahamas...10 to 15 feet The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Sebastian Inlet, Florida, to Edisto Beach, South Carolina, including portions of the St. Johns River...7 to 11 ft Edisto Beach to South Santee River, South Carolina...4 to 6 ft Boca Raton to Sebastian Inlet, Florida...4 to 6 ft South Santee River, South Carolina, to Cape Fear, North Carolina...2 to 4 ft Virginia Key to Boca Raton, Florida...1 to 3 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of the center. The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of life- threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the Florida east coast, the Georgia coast, and the South Carolina coast from Boca Raton, Florida, to South Santee River, South Carolina. There is the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours from north of South Santee River, South Carolina, to Cape Fear, North Carolina. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available at hurricanes.gov. RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in the following areas: The northern Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches The Atlantic coast of the United States from Central Florida to eastern North Carolina...6 to 12 inches with isolated totals near 15 inches along the coasts TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible along the east-central Florida coast tonight. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions of the north coast of Cuba and the Bahamas during the next few days, and will spread northward along the east coast of Florida and the southeast U.S. coast through the weekend. These swells will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. Tropical cyclone updates at 1200 AM, 100 AM, 300 AM, and 400 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 36
2016-10-07 04:55:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 070255 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR FLORIDA BAY AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE * BOCA RATON TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * OCEAN REEF TO SOUTH OF BOCA RATON * ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER * NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO SURF CITY A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ENGLEWOOD TO ANCLOTE RIVER INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND IN THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 79.2W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 939 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......160NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 79.2W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 78.9W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.5N 80.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.3N 80.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.8N 80.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...200NE 160SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.6N 78.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 31.5N 75.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 29.0N 75.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 27.0N 77.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 79.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)
2016-10-07 03:58:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MATTHEW STILL PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OVER GRAND BAHAMA... ...10 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE... As of 10:00 PM EDT Thu Oct 6 the center of MATTHEW was located near 27.0, -79.1 with movement NW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 937 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 130 mph.
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Hurricane MATTHEW Update Statement
2016-10-07 03:58:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM EDT THU OCT 06 2016 000 WTNT64 KNHC 070157 TCUAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1000 PM EDT THU OCT 06 2016 ...MATTHEW STILL PRODUCING STRONG WINDS OVER GRAND BAHAMA... ...10 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE... An automated station at West End on Grand Bahama Island recently reported a sustained wind of 64 mph (104 km/h) and a pressure of 943.1 mb (27.85 inches). Vero Beach, Florida, recently reported a wind gust of 50 mph (80 km/h). SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.0N 79.1W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM ENE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...210 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES $$ Forecaster Brennan
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