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Summary for Tropical Depression BONNIE (AT2/AL022016)

2016-06-04 22:30:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...BONNIE EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Jun 4 the center of BONNIE was located near 35.0, -65.1 with movement ESE at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression BONNIE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33

2016-06-04 22:30:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUN 04 2016 000 FONT12 KNHC 042030 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 2100 UTC SAT JUN 04 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Depression BONNIE Graphics

2016-06-04 17:06:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 04 Jun 2016 14:34:49 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 04 Jun 2016 15:03:33 GMT

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Tropical Depression BONNIE Forecast Discussion Number 32

2016-06-04 16:34:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST SAT JUN 04 2016 000 WTNT42 KNHC 041434 TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 1100 AM AST SAT JUN 04 2016 Bonnie appears to be weakening. The small burst of deep convection that occurred overnight has been shrinking, and the system is now devoid of significant thunderstorm activity. Based on the degraded structure of the system, the initial wind speed has been lowered to 30 kt, making Bonnie a tropical depression once again. The depression is over cold water and in a high wind shear environment. Since these environmental conditions are not expected to change, Bonnie is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by tonight. The remnant low will likely open into a trough within the next couple of days. The small cyclone is moving eastward at about 12 kt in the mid-latitude westerlies. An eastward to east-southeastward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected until Bonnie dissipates. Little change was made to the previous track prediction, and the official forecast lies close to a consensus of the GFS and ECMWF models. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/1500Z 35.6N 66.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/0000Z 35.1N 64.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 05/1200Z 34.6N 60.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/0000Z 34.1N 57.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Summary for Tropical Depression BONNIE (AT2/AL022016)

2016-06-04 16:33:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...BONNIE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 11:00 AM AST Sat Jun 4 the center of BONNIE was located near 35.6, -66.4 with movement E at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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