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Tropical Depression BONNIE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 24
2016-06-02 16:35:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUN 02 2016 000 FONT12 KNHC 021434 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 1500 UTC THU JUN 02 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HATTERAS 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Summary for Tropical Depression BONNIE (AT2/AL022016)
2016-06-02 16:34:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...BONNIE RE-DEVELOPS INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER COASTAL EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... As of 11:00 AM EDT Thu Jun 2 the center of BONNIE was located near 35.1, -75.1 with movement NE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression BONNIE Public Advisory Number 24
2016-06-02 16:34:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EDT THU JUN 02 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 021434 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 1100 AM EDT THU JUN 02 2016 ...BONNIE RE-DEVELOPS INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER COASTAL EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.1N 75.1W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Bonnie was located near latitude 35.1 North, longitude 75.1 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the east-northeast and an increase in forward speed are expected later today. On the forecast track, the center of Bonnie should move away from the coast of North Carolina this afternoon and tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours. After that time, Bonnie is expected to again become a post-tropical low. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gusty winds may occur over portions of the eastern North Carolina coast this afternoon, including the Pamlico Sound. RAINFALL: Bonnie is expected to produce additional rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the Outer Banks of North Carolina through Thursday evening. Isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches are possible. This rain will likely produce flooding over already saturated ground. STORM SURGE: Localized coastal flooding and dangerous surf is possible along portions of the North Carolina coast, including the Outer Banks. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Depression BONNIE Forecast Advisory Number 24
2016-06-02 16:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUN 02 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 021433 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 1500 UTC THU JUN 02 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 75.1W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 75.1W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 75.4W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 35.3N 74.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.8N 72.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 36.1N 69.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 36.1N 66.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N 75.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Post-Tropical Cyclone BONNIE Public Advisory Number 23
2016-06-02 10:42:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 500 AM EDT THU JUN 02 2016
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