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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 14
2020-10-22 10:47:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 22 2020 714 WTNT22 KNHC 220847 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 0900 UTC THU OCT 22 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 60.9W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......270NE 200SE 120SW 270NW. 12 FT SEAS..660NE 540SE 570SW 540NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 60.9W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 60.5W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.6N 61.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...220NE 210SE 130SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 33.0N 61.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 220SE 130SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.7N 61.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 140SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 36.6N 61.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 40SE 30SW 25NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...260NE 250SE 160SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 38.7N 59.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 70NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 200SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 41.6N 54.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW 60NW. 34 KT...270NE 280SE 250SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 50.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 60.0N 22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 60.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Hurricane Epsilon Graphics
2020-10-22 07:50:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2020 05:50:22 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2020 03:24:54 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Epsilon (AT2/AL272020)
2020-10-22 07:49:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EPSILON MAKES A WOBBLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST... As of 2:00 AM AST Thu Oct 22 the center of Epsilon was located near 30.3, -60.5 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 953 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 115 mph.
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at2al272020
Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 13A
2020-10-22 07:49:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 220549 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 200 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON MAKES A WOBBLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 60.5W ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 60.5 West. Epsilon has been wobbling during the past few hours, but its longer-term motion is now toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). This northwestward motion is expected to continue today. The hurricane is forecast to turn toward the north-northwest late today and toward the north on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda later this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Epsilon is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Small fluctuations in intensity are possible through this morning, but a weakening trend is expected to begin later today and continue into the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km) mainly to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 953 mb (28.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands, and are expected to reach portions of the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Hurricane Epsilon Graphics
2020-10-22 04:45:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2020 02:45:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2020 02:45:07 GMT
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hurricane graphics
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