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Tropical Storm Cristina Graphics
2020-07-12 10:32:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 12 Jul 2020 08:32:53 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 12 Jul 2020 09:24:42 GMT
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Tropical Storm Cristina Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
2020-07-12 10:31:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 12 2020 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 120831 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052020 0900 UTC SUN JUL 12 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 125W 34 10 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Summary for Tropical Storm Cristina (EP5/EP052020)
2020-07-12 10:31:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...CRISTINA WEAKENING... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sun Jul 12 the center of Cristina was located near 20.7, -123.3 with movement W at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm Cristina Public Advisory Number 23
2020-07-12 10:31:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 120831 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cristina Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052020 200 AM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020 ...CRISTINA WEAKENING... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.7N 123.3W ABOUT 870 MI...1405 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristina was located near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 123.3 West. Cristina is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Cristina will likely degenerate into a remnant low on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Storm Cristina Forecast Advisory Number 23
2020-07-12 10:30:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 12 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 120830 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052020 0900 UTC SUN JUL 12 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 123.3W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 123.3W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 122.7W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 20.9N 125.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.2N 127.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 21.6N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 22.1N 132.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 22.6N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.0N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 123.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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