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Tropical Storm DOLLY Forecast Advisory Number 4

2014-09-02 16:31:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2014 000 WTNT25 KNHC 021431 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052014 1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF CABO ROJO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO ROJO TO BARRA EL MEZQUITAL MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 96.5W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 96.5W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 95.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 24.0N 97.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.5N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 100SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.8N 100.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 96.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm DOLLY Graphics

2014-09-02 13:44:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 02 Sep 2014 11:44:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 02 Sep 2014 09:03:46 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm DOLLY (AT5/AL052014)

2014-09-02 13:43:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DOLLY HEADING TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO... As of 7:00 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 the center of DOLLY was located near 23.0, -95.7 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm DOLLY Public Advisory Number 3A

2014-09-02 13:43:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 700 AM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014 000 WTNT35 KNHC 021143 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052014 700 AM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014 ...DOLLY HEADING TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.0N 95.7W ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TUXPAN TO BARRA EL MEZQUITAL MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY TONIGHT...AND MOVE INLAND BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE UNTIL DOLLY MAKES LANDFALL. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES... 185 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS...NORTHERN VERACRUZ...AND EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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