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Tropical Storm DOLLY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2014-09-03 04:35:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 03 2014 000 FONT15 KNHC 030235 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052014 0300 UTC WED SEP 03 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TAMPICO MX 34 47 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) TUXPAN MX 34 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Summary for Tropical Storm DOLLY (AT5/AL052014)
2014-09-03 04:35:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF DOLLY MOVING ASHORE JUST SOUTH OF TAMPICO MEXICO... As of 10:00 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 the center of DOLLY was located near 21.9, -97.7 with movement W at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm DOLLY Public Advisory Number 6
2014-09-03 04:35:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014 000 WTNT35 KNHC 030235 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052014 1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014 ...CENTER OF DOLLY MOVING ASHORE JUST SOUTH OF TAMPICO MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 97.7W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSE OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO ROJO TO BOCA DE CATAN FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.7 WEST. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL MOVE INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE DOLLY MOVES INLAND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES... 220 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT DATA IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF TAMAULIPAS AND NUEVO LEON...AS WELL AS NORTHERN VERACRUZ AND EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Storm DOLLY Graphics
2014-09-03 01:43:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 02 Sep 2014 23:43:48 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 02 Sep 2014 21:04:47 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm DOLLY (AT5/AL052014)
2014-09-03 01:42:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DOLLY NEARING THE COAST OF MEXICO... As of 7:00 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 the center of DOLLY was located near 22.0, -97.3 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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