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Tropical Storm DOLLY Graphics
2014-09-03 07:43:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 03 Sep 2014 05:43:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 03 Sep 2014 03:04:48 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm DOLLY (AT5/AL052014)
2014-09-03 07:39:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF DOLLY NOW INLAND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAMPICO MEXICO... As of 1:00 AM CDT Wed Sep 3 the center of DOLLY was located near 21.9, -98.0 with movement W at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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dolly
Tropical Storm DOLLY Public Advisory Number 6A
2014-09-03 07:39:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT WED SEP 03 2014 000 WTNT35 KNHC 030539 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052014 100 AM CDT WED SEP 03 2014 ...CENTER OF DOLLY NOW INLAND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAMPICO MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 98.0W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO ROJO TO BOCA DE CATAN FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED BY RADAR DATA FROM ALTAMIRA MEXICO TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE DOLLY MOVES INLAND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES... 220 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF TAMAULIPAS AND NUEVO LEON...AS WELL AS NORTHERN VERACRUZ AND EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm DOLLY Graphics
2014-09-03 04:37:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 03 Sep 2014 02:37:04 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 03 Sep 2014 02:35:48 GMT
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dolly
Tropical Storm DOLLY Forecast Discussion Number 6
2014-09-03 04:36:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014 000 WTNT45 KNHC 030236 TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM DOLLY DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052014 1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014 Radar and surface data from Mexico show that the center of Dolly is moving ashore just south of Tampico. The initial intensity remains 40 kt, which is in agreement with the earlier aircraft observations. The minimum pressure is estimated to be 1002 mb based on dropsonde data from both the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and the NASA Global Hawk. Dolly should begin to weaken overnight while the circulation moves farther inland, and the cyclone is expected to dissipate over the mountainous terrain of northeastern Mexico within a day or so. The initial motion estimate is 270/9 kt. Dolly is forecast to continue moving generally westward to the south of a mid-level ridge until dissipation occurs. The new NHC track is similar to the previous advisory and is close to the GFS model. The primary threat from Dolly will come from heavy rainfall, with precipitation totals possibly approaching 15 inches in a few locations. These rains will likely cause flash flooding and mud slides in regions of mountainous terrain. This threat will continue during the next day or so. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0300Z 21.9N 97.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 03/1200Z 22.0N 98.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 04/0000Z 22.0N 100.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
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