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Tropical Depression JAVIER Forecast Advisory Number 10

2016-08-09 16:33:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 09 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 091433 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 1500 UTC TUE AUG 09 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 111.2W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 111.2W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 110.9W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.8N 112.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 26.1N 113.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 27.0N 113.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 111.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Depression JAVIER Graphics

2016-08-09 13:52:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 09 Aug 2016 11:52:41 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 09 Aug 2016 09:04:35 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression JAVIER (EP1/EP112016)

2016-08-09 13:51:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS THAT JAVIER HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 6:00 AM MDT Tue Aug 9 the center of JAVIER was located near 23.4, -110.6 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression JAVIER Public Advisory Number 9A

2016-08-09 13:51:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 600 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 091151 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 600 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS THAT JAVIER HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.4N 110.6W ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning and Tropical Storm Watch for the Baja California peninsula. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Javier was located near latitude 23.4 North, longitude 110.6 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Javier is expected to move near or over Baja California Sur through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Javier is forecast to become a remnant low within the next day or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft reported a minimum central pressure of 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches over Baja California Sur and northwest Mexico through Thursday morning, with maximum amounts of up to 8 inches possible. Moisture partially related to Javier has spread into Arizona and New Mexico, where 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated amounts of up to 8 inches, are possible through Thursday. The expected rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Depression IVETTE Graphics

2016-08-08 05:08:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 08 Aug 2016 02:46:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 08 Aug 2016 03:04:34 GMT

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