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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2014-09-24 16:50:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 24 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 241449 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182014 1500 UTC WED SEP 24 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) 10(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 16(29) 4(33) 1(34) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2014-09-24 16:49:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 24 2014 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 241449 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182014 1500 UTC WED SEP 24 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 105.5W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 105.5W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 105.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.7N 107.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.7N 109.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.7N 110.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.6N 112.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 22.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 105.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression POLO Graphics
2014-09-22 10:33:03| Tropical Depression LIDIA
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 22 Sep 2014 08:33:03 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 22 Sep 2014 03:04:46 GMT
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tropical
depression
polo
Tropical Depression POLO Forecast Discussion Number 25
2014-09-22 10:32:18| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 200 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2014
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discussion
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression POLO 5-Day Track, Uncertainty Cone, Warnings (.shp)
2014-09-22 10:32:05| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Mon, 22 Sep 2014 08:32:05 GMT
Tags: track
tropical
depression
polo
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