je.st
news
Tag: depression
Subtropical Depression SEVEN Graphics
2014-10-10 19:41:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 10 Oct 2014 17:41:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 10 Oct 2014 15:05:02 GMT
Tags: graphics
depression
subtropical
subtropical depression
Summary for Subtropical Depression SEVEN (AT2/AL072014)
2014-10-10 19:38:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED SOUTH OF BERMUDA... ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM... As of 2:00 PM AST Fri Oct 10 the center of SEVEN was located near 24.3, -64.0 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
depression
subtropical
subtropical depression
Subtropical Depression SEVEN Public Advisory Number 1A
2014-10-10 19:38:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM AST FRI OCT 10 2014 000 WTNT32 KNHC 101738 TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 200 PM AST FRI OCT 10 2014 ...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED SOUTH OF BERMUDA... ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.3N 64.0W ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A SUBTROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA LATE SATURDAY OR ON SUNDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tags: number
public
advisory
depression
Subtropical Depression SEVEN Graphics
2014-10-10 16:56:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 10 Oct 2014 14:56:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 10 Oct 2014 14:43:05 GMT
Tags: graphics
depression
subtropical
subtropical depression
Subtropical Depression SEVEN Forecast Discussion Number 1
2014-10-10 16:47:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST FRI OCT 10 2014 000 WTNT42 KNHC 101447 TCDAT2 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 1100 AM AST FRI OCT 10 2014 Satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure located several hundred miles north of the northern Leeward Islands has developed a large area of deep convection in a long curved band north and west of the center. First-light visible satellite imagery also indicates that the low-level center of the low has become better defined since yesterday. Satellite classifications are a subtropical 1.5 from TAFB and SAB at 1200 UTC, and the system's involvement with a nearby upper-level low and roughly 100 n mi radius of maximum winds also argue for a subtropical designation. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft will investigate the depression this afternoon to better assess its intensity and structure. The protective cover of the nearby upper low will provide a relatively low vertical wind shear environment in the short term, with the cyclone over warm sea surface temperatures of 28- 29 deg C. The model guidance indicates that the depression should become embedded in increasing southerly vertical shear east of the same upper-level trough after 24 hours, so the system has a short window for intensification or transformation into a tropical cyclone. Global models depict the cyclone becoming absorbed by a frontal zone over the north-central Atlantic before 72 hours. The NHC intensity forecast is close to the statistical-dynamical guidance. The depression is moving northwestward or 320/09 around the southwestern perhiphery of a mid-level ridge over the central Atlantic. The deep-layer steering flow around this feature should cause the cyclone to turn northward within 24 hours, after which it will turn northeastward in increasing southwesterly flow at the base of a longwave trough prior to absorption by the front. The NHC track forecast is very close to the multi-model consensus, TVCA, through- out the period and between the ECMWF and GFS model solutions. The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a tropical storm watch for Bermuda. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/1500Z 23.8N 63.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 11/0000Z 25.1N 64.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 11/1200Z 26.8N 65.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 12/0000Z 29.4N 64.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 12/1200Z 31.5N 62.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
Tags: number
discussion
depression
forecast
Sites : [1365] [1366] [1367] [1368] [1369] [1370] [1371] [1372] [1373] [1374] [1375] [1376] [1377] [1378] [1379] [1380] [1381] [1382] [1383] [1384] next »