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Tropical Depression TRUDY Forecast Advisory Number 5
2014-10-18 22:31:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 182030 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TRUDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202014 2100 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 98.5W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 98.5W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 98.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.3N 98.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.3N 98.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 98.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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Tropical Depression TWENTY-E Graphics
2014-10-18 01:55:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 17 Oct 2014 23:55:43 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 17 Oct 2014 21:06:32 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression TWENTY-E (EP5/EP202014)
2014-10-18 01:54:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... As of 5:00 PM PDT Fri Oct 17 the center of TWENTY-E was located near 15.6, -99.0 with movement N at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression TWENTY-E Public Advisory Number 1A
2014-10-18 01:54:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM PDT FRI OCT 17 2014 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 172354 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202014 500 PM PDT FRI OCT 17 2014 ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 99.0W ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAGUNA DE CHACAHUA MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLOW DOWN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AND IS LIKELY TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN MEXICO ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT WITH WEAKENING ANTICIPATED AFTER THE CYCLONE MAKES LANDFALL. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. SURF...SWELLS AND DANGEROUS WAVES FROM THE DEPRESSION WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression TWENTY-E Graphics
2014-10-17 23:14:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 17 Oct 2014 20:52:34 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 17 Oct 2014 21:06:32 GMT
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