je.st
news
Tag: depression
Tropical Depression Norbert Public Advisory Number 15
2020-10-09 10:38:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 090837 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Norbert Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 300 AM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 ...WEAKLY NORBERT STRUGGLING WITH WIND SHEAR... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.2N 106.0W ABOUT 415 MI...670 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Norbert was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 106.0 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 1 mph (2 km/h), and this general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. Norbert is expected to become a remnant low by Saturday and dissipate by Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Zelinsky
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Norbert Forecast Advisory Number 15
2020-10-09 10:37:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 090837 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192020 0900 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 106.0W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 1 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 106.0W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 105.9W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 13.4N 106.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.9N 106.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.4N 107.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.7N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.9N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 106.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/ZELINSKY
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Norbert Graphics
2020-10-09 04:43:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 09 Oct 2020 02:43:35 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 09 Oct 2020 02:43:35 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
norbert
Tropical Depression Norbert Forecast Discussion Number 14
2020-10-09 04:42:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Thu Oct 08 2020 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 090242 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Norbert Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 900 PM MDT Thu Oct 08 2020 Norbert's satellite presentation has changed little in the past several hours. Intermittent bursts of deep convection continue to pulse near the center, and the depression's asymmetric appearance indicates it is still experiencing southeasterly shear. The initial intensity is held at 25 kt based on a T1.5 Dvorak classification from TAFB and earlier satellite-derived wind data. Environmental conditions are not expected to change much during the next several days. Norbert will remain over warm sea-surface temperatures, but weak to moderate east-southeasterly shear will likely persist over the cyclone. Little intensity change is expected over the next couple of days. The NHC intensity forecast keeps Norbert as a 25-kt tropical depression through the next 60 h, although minor intensity fluctuations are possible. Between 36-72 h, increasing deep-layer shear should expedite Norbert's degeneration into a remnant low, and this advisory calls for Norbert to become a remnant low at 72 h. Norbert has moved little in the past 6-12 h, as the large-scale steering currents remain weak. A weak mid-level ridge is forecast to build to the northeast of the cyclone Friday through Saturday, which should steer Norbert slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. A mid- to upper-level low is expected to move across northern Mexico on Sunday, which could cause Norbert to stall or meander once again if it remains a depression. Later in the forecast period, whatever remains of Norbert should move westward as it becomes embedded within the low-level easterly trades. The latest NHC track forecast is adjusted slightly towards the left of the previous forecast, in line with the latest model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/0300Z 13.0N 106.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 09/1200Z 13.1N 106.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 10/0000Z 13.5N 106.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 10/1200Z 14.2N 107.4W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 11/0000Z 14.6N 107.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 11/1200Z 14.8N 107.7W 25 KT 30 MPH 72H 12/0000Z 15.0N 107.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 13/0000Z 15.0N 108.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 14/0000Z 15.0N 109.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Berg
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Norbert Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2020-10-09 04:40:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 090240 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192020 0300 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BERG
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Sites : [246] [247] [248] [249] [250] [251] [252] [253] [254] [255] [256] [257] [258] [259] [260] [261] [262] [263] [264] [265] next »