je.st
news
Tag: depression
Tropical Depression Norbert Forecast Discussion Number 17
2020-10-09 22:34:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 157 WTPZ44 KNHC 092034 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Norbert Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 300 PM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 Deep convection has persisted near the center of Norbert for the past several hours. However, a recent ASCAT overpass as well as visible satellite imagery revealed that the low-level circulation is becoming elongated. In addition, the wind field surrounding the depression suggests that is remains very near, if not embedded in the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). The initial intensity of 25 kt is based off data from the ASCAT overpass. The GFS and ECMWF both indicate that Norbert will open into a trough as it becomes absorbed into the ITCZ in a couple of days, and the official forecast now indicates dissipation just after 48 h. Norbert continues to move toward the northwest at 3 kt. A slow northwestward motion is expected until dissipation as the cyclone is steered by weak mid-level ridging to its northeast. The latest NHC track forecast is little changed from the previous one, and is near the various track consensus guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/2100Z 13.5N 106.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 10/0600Z 13.8N 106.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 10/1800Z 14.4N 107.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 11/0600Z 14.7N 107.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 11/1800Z 14.9N 107.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Norbert Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17
2020-10-09 22:34:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 092034 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192020 2100 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Summary for Tropical Depression Norbert (EP4/EP192020)
2020-10-09 22:34:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NORBERT EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... As of 3:00 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 the center of Norbert was located near 13.5, -106.3 with movement NW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression Norbert Public Advisory Number 17
2020-10-09 22:34:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 092034 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Norbert Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 300 PM MDT Fri Oct 09 2020 ...NORBERT EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 106.3W ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Norbert was located near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 106.3 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow northwestward motion is expected for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. Norbert is expected to dissipate by Sunday night. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Norbert Forecast Advisory Number 17
2020-10-09 22:34:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 092034 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192020 2100 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 106.3W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 106.3W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 106.2W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.8N 106.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.4N 107.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.7N 107.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.9N 107.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 106.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Sites : [243] [244] [245] [246] [247] [248] [249] [250] [251] [252] [253] [254] [255] [256] [257] [258] [259] [260] [261] [262] next »