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Summary for Tropical Depression Bud (EP3/EP032018)
2018-06-15 16:36:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...BUD AND ITS REMNANTS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE STATE OF SONORA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... As of 9:00 AM MDT Fri Jun 15 the center of Bud was located near 25.3, -110.0 with movement N at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Bud Public Advisory Number 24
2018-06-15 16:36:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Fri Jun 15 2018 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 151436 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Bud Advisory Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032018 900 AM MDT Fri Jun 15 2018 ...BUD AND ITS REMNANTS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE STATE OF SONORA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.3N 110.0W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF LORETO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch from Altata to Huatabampito. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Bud was located near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 110.0 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through early Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Bud is expected to move inland over southern Sonora by tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Bud is expected to become a remnant low by tonight and dissipate on Saturday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bud is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated totals of 6 inches across southern and eastern Sonora in northwestern Mexico through Saturday. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rain are possible in southern portions of Baja California Sur. Remnant moisture from Bud is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of rain with isolated totals of 3 inches across the southwestern U.S. into the southern and central Rockies through Saturday. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force are possible today along the coast of mainland Mexico in northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora states. SURF: Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of the coast of western mainland Mexico during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan/McElroy
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Tropical Depression Bud Forecast Advisory Number 24
2018-06-15 16:36:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 15 2018 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 151435 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 1500 UTC FRI JUN 15 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 110.0W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 110.0W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 27.2N 109.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 110.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/MCELROY
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Summary for Tropical Depression Four-E (EP4/EP042018)
2018-06-15 13:55:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION DRIFTING OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUING IN THE ACAPULCO AREA... As of 7:00 AM CDT Fri Jun 15 the center of Four-E was located near 15.4, -100.1 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Four-E Public Advisory Number 3A
2018-06-15 13:55:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 AM CDT Fri Jun 15 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 151154 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Four-E Intermediate Advisory Number 3A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018 700 AM CDT Fri Jun 15 2018 ...DEPRESSION DRIFTING OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUING IN THE ACAPULCO AREA... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 100.1W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta Maldonado A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the watch area, generally within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E was estimated near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 100.1 West. The depression is currently stationary, but a slow drift toward the northeast and then north is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of the depression could reach the coast of southern Mexico within in the warning area by Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm before it reaches the coast of southern Mexico. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall along the Guerrero coast, including the city of Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts approaching 8 inches possible. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Farther inland across the state of Guerrero, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area Saturday or Saturday night. SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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