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Summary for Tropical Depression Eleven-E (EP1/EP112017)
2017-08-05 16:37:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION MOVING AWAY FROM SOCORRO ISLAND... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 9:00 AM MDT Sat Aug 5 the center of Eleven-E was located near 19.6, -111.3 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Public Advisory Number 5
2017-08-05 16:37:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 AM MDT Sat Aug 05 2017 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 051437 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eleven-E Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112017 900 AM MDT Sat Aug 05 2017 ...DEPRESSION MOVING AWAY FROM SOCORRO ISLAND... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 111.3W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NNW OF SOCORRO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven-E was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 111.4 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A continued northwest motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected until the system dissipates early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is forecast to become a remnant low later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Forecast Advisory Number 5
2017-08-05 16:37:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 05 2017 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 051437 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112017 1500 UTC SAT AUG 05 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 111.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 111.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.3W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.2N 111.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.8N 112.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.0N 112.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 111.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Graphics
2017-08-05 10:38:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 05 Aug 2017 08:38:48 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 05 Aug 2017 09:23:02 GMT
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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Forecast Discussion Number 4
2017-08-05 10:34:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Sat Aug 05 2017 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 050834 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Eleven-E Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112017 300 AM MDT Sat Aug 05 2017 The center of the depression moved over Socorro Island, Mexico between 0400 and 0500 UTC. A Mexican Navy automatic weather station located in that island reported a well defined wind shift associated with the circulation and 20 to 25 kt winds in gusts. A recent ASCAT pass shows a few vectors of 30 kt, and this will be the intensity in this advisory. The depression has been decapitated by strong upper-level easterly winds, and the low-level and mid-level centers are now separated by at least 230 n mi. There are only a few patches of deep convection left. Since the shear environment is forecast to persist or even increase, the NHC forecast calls for the depression to become a remnant low in about 12 hours or so. The low-level swirl associated with the center of the depression is moving toward the northwest or 315 degrees at 8 kt around the periphery of a subtropical ridge. Since no changes in the steering pattern is forecast by global models, this general motion is expected to continue until dissipation in a day or so. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0900Z 19.2N 111.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/1800Z 20.0N 112.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 06/0600Z 20.6N 112.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/1800Z 21.2N 113.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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