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Tropical Storm Otis Public Advisory Number 31

2017-09-19 10:34:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 190834 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Otis Advisory Number 31 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152017 200 AM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017 ...OTIS MAINTAINING TROPICAL STORM STATUS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.0N 127.9W ABOUT 1190 MI...1915 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Otis was located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 127.9 West. Otis is moving toward the west-southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h), and a turn toward the southwest is anticipated by early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Otis is likely to dissipate within 36 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Tropical Storm Otis Graphics

2017-09-19 04:46:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 02:46:56 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 02:46:56 GMT

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Tropical Storm Otis Wind Speed Probabilities Number 30

2017-09-19 04:37:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 190237 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM OTIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152017 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Summary for Tropical Storm Otis (EP5/EP152017)

2017-09-19 04:36:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...OTIS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR TWO... As of 8:00 PM PDT Mon Sep 18 the center of Otis was located near 19.4, -127.7 with movement W at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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