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Summary for Remnants of Max (EP1/EP162017)
2017-09-15 10:37:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MAX DEGENERATES INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE... As of 4:00 AM CDT Fri Sep 15 the center of Max was located near 17.0, -98.0 with movement ENE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Remnants of Max Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2017-09-15 10:36:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 150836 PWSEP1 REMNANTS OF MAX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162017 0900 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017 AT 0900Z THE REMNANTS OF MAX WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tropical Depression Max Graphics
2017-09-15 07:32:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 15 Sep 2017 05:32:17 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 15 Sep 2017 03:42:41 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Max (EP1/EP162017)
2017-09-15 07:31:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MAX RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... As of 1:00 AM CDT Fri Sep 15 the center of Max was located near 17.0, -98.2 with movement E at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Max Public Advisory Number 8A
2017-09-15 07:31:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Fri Sep 15 2017 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 150531 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Max Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162017 100 AM CDT Fri Sep 15 2017 ...MAX RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 98.2W ABOUT 115 MI...180 KM E OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY The government of Mexico has discontinued the tropical storm Warning from Acapulco to Lagunas de Chacahua. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Max was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 98.2 West. The depression is moving toward the east near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion should continue today. On the forecast track, the center of Max will continue to move over the high terrain of southern Mexico during the next several hours. The effect of the high terrain has caused Max to weaken, and the maximum sustained winds are now 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional rapid weakening is forecast, and Max is expected to dissipate later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Despite weakening, Max is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican state of Guerrero and western portions of the state of Oaxaca. Maximum amounts locally in excess of 20 inches are possible over coastal areas of Guerrero. These torrential rains may produce life- threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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