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Summary for Tropical Storm Max (EP1/EP162017)
2017-09-15 01:36:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MAX MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA... As of 7:00 PM CDT Thu Sep 14 the center of Max was located near 16.8, -98.7 with movement E at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Tropical Storm Max Public Advisory Number 7A
2017-09-15 01:36:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 142336 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Max Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162017 700 PM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017 ...MAX MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 98.7W ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM E OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY The government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings west of Acapulco and has replaced the Hurricane Warning from east of Acapulco to Punta Maldonado with a Tropical Storm Warning. The Hurricane Watch has also been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Acapulco to Lagunas de Chacahua For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Max was located inland over southern Mexico near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 98.7 West. Max is moving toward the east near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a turn toward the east-northeast is expected by tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Max will move farther inland over southern Mexico tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is forecast, and Max is expected to weaken to a tropical depression later tonight and dissipate over southern Mexico on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Max is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican state of Guerrero and western portions of the state of Oaxaca. Maximum amounts locally in excess of 20 inches are possible over coastal areas of Guerrero. These torrential rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of the warning area through late tonight. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore flow to the southeast of the center of Max. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
Hurricane Max Graphics
2017-09-14 22:44:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 14 Sep 2017 20:44:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 14 Sep 2017 20:44:18 GMT
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Hurricane Max Forecast Discussion Number 7
2017-09-14 22:40:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 142040 TCDEP1 Hurricane Max Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162017 400 PM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017 Max's structure continued to improve since the last advisory, with a well-defined eye showing up in both visible and infrared satellite images for a couple of hours. At 1800 UTC, satellite classifications ranged from 65 to 90 kt, so guidance was initialized at 75 kt. However, Max's center appears to be moving onshore to the east of Acapulco, and the eye that was observed in satellite imagery has disappeared. The advisory intensity is therefore set a little lower at 70 kt. The initial motion is 080/7 kt, with Max being steered eastward to the north of a mid-level ridge extending southwestward from Central America. An eastward or east-northwestward motion is expected to continue, and Max will be moving farther inland over southern Mexico. There were only a few trackers available from the track guidance, and the NHC forecast is primarily an extrapolation of the current motion for the next 12 hours. Now that Max is moving onshore and will be encountering the mountains of southern Mexico, rapid weakening is likely. In fact, the center of the small cyclone will probably not fare well in the high terrain, and Max is forecast to dissipate by 24 hours, if not sooner. Heavy rainfall continues to be the primary threat from Max. Rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated amounts of 20 inches, are expected over the Mexican states of Guerrero and Oaxaca, and life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are possible. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/2100Z 16.6N 99.1W 70 KT 80 MPH...ON THE COAST 12H 15/0600Z 16.9N 98.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 24H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
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Summary for Hurricane Max (EP1/EP162017)
2017-09-14 22:40:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...MAX MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN GUERRERO... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA... As of 4:00 PM CDT Thu Sep 14 the center of Max was located near 16.6, -99.1 with movement E at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
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