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Tropical Storm KARINA Public Advisory Number 27
2014-08-19 16:32:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 191431 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARINA ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 800 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014 ...KARINA FORECAST TO LAST A FEW MORE DAYS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 134.4W ABOUT 1390 MI...2235 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.4 WEST. KARINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. AN ADDITIONAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED...AND KARINA COULD BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SMALL FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Advisory Number 27
2014-08-19 16:31:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 191431 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.4W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.4W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.2W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.7N 135.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.8N 135.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 136.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 136.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.0N 136.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 17.7N 132.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.0N 129.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 134.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Storm KARINA Graphics
2014-08-19 11:09:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 19 Aug 2014 08:34:28 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 19 Aug 2014 09:04:45 GMT
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Tropical Storm KARINA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26
2014-08-19 10:33:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 190833 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 0900 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
Summary for Tropical Storm KARINA (EP1/EP112014)
2014-08-19 10:32:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...KARINA WAVERING IN INTENSITY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Tue Aug 19 the center of KARINA was located near 15.7, -134.0 with movement WSW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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