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Tropical Storm Laura Graphics

2020-08-23 04:45:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 23 Aug 2020 02:45:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 23 Aug 2020 02:45:47 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm Laura (AT3/AL132020)

2020-08-23 04:43:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...LAURA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... As of 11:00 PM AST Sat Aug 22 the center of Laura was located near 18.3, -69.6 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm Laura Public Advisory Number 13

2020-08-23 04:43:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Aug 22 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 230243 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Laura Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 1100 PM AST Sat Aug 22 2020 ...LAURA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 69.6W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the U.S. Virgin Islands. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra * The northern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the border with Haiti * The southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Punta Palenque * The northern coast of Haiti from Le Mole St. Nicholas to the border with the Dominican Republic * The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands * Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Las Tunas, Holguin, Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, and Granma A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The central Bahamas * Andros Island * Florida Keys from Ocean Reef to Key West and the Dry Tortugas * Florida Bay * Cuban provinces of Ciego De Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Villa Clara, Cienfuegos, Matanzas, Mayabeque, La Habana, Artemisa, and Pinar Del Rio It should be noted that the Cuban province of Pinar Del Rio is still under a Tropical Storm Warning for Marco. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Laura was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 69.6 West. Laura is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a this general motion is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Laura will move across Hispaniola tonight and early Sunday, near or over Cuba Sunday and Monday, and over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday night and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant changes in strength are forecast during the next 36 to 48 hours while Laura moves near or over Hispaniola and Cuba. Strengthening is forecast once Laura moves into the Gulf of Mexico Monday night and Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Laura is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Tuesday: Western Puerto Rico: An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with maximum storm total accumulations of 8 inches, is possible before the rain diminishes overnight. Dominican Republic and Haiti: 4 to 8 inches, with maximum amounts of 12 inches across southern areas. Cuba: 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts of 8 inches. This heavy rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash and urban flooding, and the potential for mudslides across the Greater Antilles. Widespread minor to potentially moderate river flooding is possible in Puerto Rico. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches, is expected over the Turks and Caicos, southeast Bahamas and Jamaica. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area through Sunday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible within portions of the watch area on Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Laura are affecting portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola. These swells are expected to spread across Cuba, much of the Bahamas, and the Florida Keys during the next few days. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Tropical Storm Laura Forecast Advisory Number 13

2020-08-23 04:42:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 230242 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020 0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI * THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE * THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS * ANDROS ISLAND * FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS * FLORIDA BAY * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...AND PINAR DEL RIO IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO IS STILL UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MARCO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 69.6W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 69.6W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 68.8W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.3N 72.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.6N 76.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.1N 79.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.4N 83.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.7N 85.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.2N 88.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 29.8N 91.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 34.7N 89.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 69.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Summary for Tropical Storm Laura (AT3/AL132020)

2020-08-23 01:47:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...LAURA NEAR THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... ...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... As of 8:00 PM AST Sat Aug 22 the center of Laura was located near 18.1, -68.7 with movement W at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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