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Summary for Tropical Storm Paulette (AT2/AL172020)
2020-09-12 22:45:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...PAULETTE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT... ...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE ON BERMUDA LATE SUNDAY... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Sep 12 the center of Paulette was located near 28.4, -58.5 with movement NW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 987 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 24
2020-09-12 22:45:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 122045 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 58.5W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......170NE 100SE 50SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 58.5W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 57.9W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 29.2N 60.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 100SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 30.3N 62.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.8N 64.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.5N 64.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 35.3N 63.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 37.0N 59.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 40.0N 52.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 43.5N 44.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 58.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 13/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm Paulette Public Advisory Number 24
2020-09-12 22:45:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 122045 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 500 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 ...PAULETTE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT... ...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE ON BERMUDA LATE SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.4N 58.5W ABOUT 460 MI...745 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was located near latitude 28.4 North, longitude 58.5 West. Paulette is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A northwest or west-northwest motion is expected through Sunday night. A turn toward the north with a decrease in forward speed is forecast on Monday, followed by a northeastward motion Monday night and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Paulette will move near or over Bermuda Monday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is expected to become a hurricane tonight. Paulette is expected to be a dangerous hurricane when it is near Bermuda Sunday night and Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach Bermuda by Sunday night or early Monday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength by late Sunday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAIN: Paulette is expected to bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda Sunday through Monday, with rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches likely. SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda and will continue to spread westward to the east coast of the United States over the next day or two. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Sally Graphics
2020-09-12 20:07:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 12 Sep 2020 18:07:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 12 Sep 2020 15:40:04 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Sally (AT4/AL192020)
2020-09-12 20:01:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM... As of 2:00 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 the center of Sally was located near 25.6, -81.6 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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