je.st
news
Tag: tropical storm
Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 13
2020-09-10 04:33:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 100232 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 48.1W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT.......180NE 60SE 60SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 90SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 48.1W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 47.6W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.3N 49.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 50SE 30SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.4N 51.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 40SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.9N 53.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.8N 54.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 24.1N 55.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 25.8N 57.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 29.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 31.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 48.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Rene Graphics
2020-09-09 22:36:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 20:36:11 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 20:36:11 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
rene
Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Discussion Number 11
2020-09-09 22:34:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 092034 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Rene Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 PM AST Wed Sep 09 2020 Although the cloud pattern of Rene has changed little in overall organization since earlier today, there are some indications that the easterly shear over the storm has diminished somewhat. Cirrus cloud motions show that upper-level outflow is slightly more evident over the eastern portion of the circulation, but it remains limited over that region. The current intensity estimate remains 35 kt in agreement with a Dvorak estimate from TAFB. Vertical shear is predicted to be modest over Rene during the next couple of days, and this should allow for some strengthening. The official intensity forecast is similar to the model consensus and continues to show the system becoming a hurricane, albeit briefly. After day 3, the western portion of a large upper-level trough over the eastern Atlantic is likely to impart increased shear, which should lead to weakening. Conventional satellite and microwave fixes show a continued west-northwestward motion at about 285/11 kt. Rene is currently located on the southwest side of a mid-level ridge over the eastern Atlantic. A weakness in the ridge in the vicinity of 40W-45W longitude should induce a turn toward the northwest and north-northwest in 3-5 days. By the end of the forecast period, Rene's forward progress begins to be blocked by building mid-level heights to its north and northwest, which should cause the cyclone's forward motion to slow down significantly. The official track forecast has been adjusted farther to the left of the previous one, to be closer to the latest model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/2100Z 18.0N 32.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 10/0600Z 18.4N 34.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 10/1800Z 18.9N 36.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 11/0600Z 19.5N 38.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 11/1800Z 20.5N 40.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 12/0600Z 21.7N 42.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 12/1800Z 23.5N 43.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 13/1800Z 26.9N 46.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 14/1800Z 28.5N 47.0W 40 KT 45 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm Rene (AT3/AL182020)
2020-09-09 22:33:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...RENE SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 5:00 PM AST Wed Sep 9 the center of Rene was located near 18.0, -32.7 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
rene
Tropical Storm Paulette Graphics
2020-09-09 22:33:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 20:33:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Sep 2020 20:33:12 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
paulette
Sites : [771] [772] [773] [774] [775] [776] [777] [778] [779] [780] [781] [782] [783] [784] [785] [786] [787] [788] [789] [790] next »