je.st
news
Tag: matthew
Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 27
2016-10-04 22:58:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 042058 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 2100 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 12(21) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 13(23) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 15(27) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 18(36) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 3(22) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 12(35) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 13(37) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 11(36) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 7(36) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 7(36) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 26(35) 7(42) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 3(18) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 17(26) 2(28) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) 1(21) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 23(34) 4(38) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 2(15) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 24(36) 4(40) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 25(41) 3(44) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 1(17) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 23(45) 1(46) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) X(19) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 20(45) 1(46) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) X(18) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 1(20) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 18(47) 1(48) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) 1(17) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 39(41) 16(57) 1(58) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 8(24) X(24) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 12(39) 1(40) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 43(46) 15(61) X(61) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 10(28) X(28) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 41(43) 15(58) X(58) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 8(22) X(22) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 35(38) 10(48) X(48) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 51(61) 10(71) X(71) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 7(36) X(36) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17) X(17) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 40(46) 11(57) X(57) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) X(17) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 48(61) 9(70) X(70) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 4(31) X(31) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 52(73) 5(78) 1(79) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 36(41) 4(45) X(45) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 2(24) X(24) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 52(72) 6(78) X(78) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 35(40) 5(45) X(45) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 1(23) 1(24) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 43(78) 3(81) 1(82) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 36(48) 3(51) X(51) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) 2(29) X(29) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 41(47) 29(76) 3(79) X(79) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 30(49) 2(51) X(51) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 21(29) 1(30) X(30) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 41(48) 22(70) 2(72) X(72) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 20(41) 2(43) X(43) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 14(23) 1(24) X(24) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 39(46) 18(64) 2(66) X(66) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 16(33) 1(34) X(34) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) X(18) X(18) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 9(28) 2(30) X(30) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 8(17) 2(19) X(19) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 20(34) 3(37) X(37) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 25(37) 3(40) 1(41) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 22(29) 5(34) X(34) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 28(34) 7(41) X(41) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 7(35) X(35) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) 1(16) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 5(17) X(17) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 59(74) 18(92) X(92) X(92) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 43(45) 24(69) 2(71) X(71) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 22(49) 1(50) X(50) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 1 6( 7) 56(63) 30(93) 2(95) X(95) X(95) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) 33(33) 41(74) 5(79) X(79) X(79) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) 17(17) 37(54) 4(58) X(58) X(58) ANDROS 34 1 12(13) 61(74) 14(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) ANDROS 50 X 2( 2) 43(45) 21(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) ANDROS 64 X X( X) 26(26) 20(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) GREAT EXUMA 34 2 75(77) 19(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) GREAT EXUMA 50 1 40(41) 42(83) 3(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) GREAT EXUMA 64 X 19(19) 46(65) 3(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) SAN SALVADOR 34 2 53(55) 20(75) 2(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) SAN SALVADOR 50 X 12(12) 18(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) SAN SALVADOR 64 X 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MAYAGUANA 34 36 27(63) 2(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) MAYAGUANA 50 3 7(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MAYAGUANA 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GRAND TURK 34 4 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) CAMAGUEY 34 2 6( 8) 9(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) CAMAGUEY 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) GUANTANAMO BAY 64 23 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) MONTEGO BAY 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KINGSTON 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LES CAYES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 12 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PUERTO PLATA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
speed
wind
matthew
Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)
2016-10-04 22:58:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NORTHERN EYEWALL OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW ALREADY POUNDING THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA... As of 5:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 4 the center of MATTHEW was located near 19.8, -74.3 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 949 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 140 mph.
Tags: summary
matthew
hurricane
Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 27
2016-10-04 22:58:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT TUE OCT 04 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 042058 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 500 PM EDT TUE OCT 04 2016 ...NORTHERN EYEWALL OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW ALREADY POUNDING THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.8N 74.3W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM ESE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Watch has been extended southward to Golden Beach, Florida. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Haiti * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Holguin, Granma, and Las Tunas * Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins, Crooked Island, Long Cay, and Ragged Island * Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay, San Salvador, and Cat Island * Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cuban province of Camaguey * Golden Beach to the Volusia/Brevard county line A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the border with Haiti * Turks and Caicos Islands A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Puerto Plata westward to the border with Haiti * Seven Mile Bridge to south of Golden Beach * Lake Okeechobee Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys should monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 74.3 West. Matthew is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). On this track the eye of Matthew will move over the extreme portion of eastern Cuba in the next few hours. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected by Wednesday, followed by a northwest turn Wednesday night. Matthew is expected to move near or over portions of the southeastern and central Bahamas tonight and Wednesday, and approach the northwestern Bahamas Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through at least Thursday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 949 mb (28.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are still affecting portions of Haiti. Hurricane conditions are likely occuring over eastern Cuba, and will begin in the southeastern Bahamas this evening, the central Bahamas on Wednesday, and the northwestern Bahamas Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading across the remainder of Haiti, eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas tonight, and should reach the central and northwestern Bahamas on Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are still occurring in portions the Dominican Republic within the warning area, and these conditions will spread northward into the Turks and Caicos Islands tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas in Cuba tonight with tropical storm conditions possible later tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area in Florida by late Thursday, with tropical storm conditions possible by early Thursday. Tropical storm condition are also possible in the Florida tropical storm watch area by early Thursday. RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in the following areas: Southern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic...15 to 25 inches, isolated 40 inches Eastern Cuba and northwestern Haiti...8 to 12 inches, isolated 20 inches Eastern Jamaica...4 to 6 inches, isolated 12 inches The Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches Turks and Caicos Islands...2 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches Northeastern Haiti and the Northern Dominican Republic...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches Western Jamaica...1 to 2 inches, isolated 3 inches Upper Florida Keys northward to coastal east-central Florida....4 to 7 inches, isolated 10 inches Middle to Lower Florida Keys....1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely from this rainfall in southern and northwestern Haiti, the southwestern Dominican Republic, and eastern Cuba. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the following amounts above normal tide levels... Southern Coast of Cuba east of Cabo Cruz...7 to 11 feet South Coast of Haiti...7 to 10 feet Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet Gulf of Gonave in Haiti...3 to 5 feet Southern coast of the Dominican Republic...1 to 3 feet The Bahamas...10 to 15 feet The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... North Palm Beach to the Volusia/Brevard county line...3 to 5 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of the center. The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is the potential for life-threatening inundation during the next 48 hours along the Florida east coast from North Palm Beach to the Volusia/Brevard county line. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is available at hurricanes.gov. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions of the coasts of Hispaniola, Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and the Caribbean coastline of Central America during the next few days. Swells from Matthew will begin affecting portions of the Bahamas on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
public
advisory
matthew
Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 27
2016-10-04 22:53:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 042053 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 2100 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO GOLDEN BEACH... FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN... GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA... ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY... SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY * GOLDEN BEACH TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI * SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 74.3W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 150SE 80SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 180SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 74.3W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 74.3W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.1N 74.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N 75.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.0N 76.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.9N 78.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.5N 80.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 110SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 33.5N 78.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 40.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 74.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
advisory
matthew
forecast
Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)
2016-10-04 19:54:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW EXPECTED TO HIT FAR EASTERN CUBA HARD LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 4 the center of MATTHEW was located near 19.4, -74.3 with movement N at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 949 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 145 mph.
Tags: summary
matthew
hurricane
Sites : [39] [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] [49] [50] [51] [52] [53] [54] [55] [56] [57] [58] next »