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Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)

2016-10-04 17:03:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING OVER THE GULF OF GONAVE AND IS HEADING FOR EASTERN CUBA... As of 11:00 AM EDT Tue Oct 4 the center of MATTHEW was located near 18.9, -74.3 with movement N at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 950 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 145 mph.

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Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 26

2016-10-04 17:03:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM EDT TUE OCT 04 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 041503 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1100 AM EDT TUE OCT 04 2016 ...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING OVER THE GULF OF GONAVE AND IS HEADING FOR EASTERN CUBA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 74.3W ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NNE OF TIBURON HAITI ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Deerfield Beach, Florida to the Volusia/Brevard county line. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from the Seven Mile Bridge in the Florida Keys northward to south of Deerfield Beach, including Lake Okeechobee The government of Jamaica has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Jamaica. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Haiti * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Holguin, Granma, and Las Tunas * Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins, Crooked Island, Long Cay, and Ragged Island * Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay, San Salvador, and Cat Island * Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cuban province of Camaguey * Deerfield Beach to the Volusia/Brevard county line A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the border with Haiti * Turks and Caicos Islands A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Puerto Plata westward to the border with Haiti * Seven Mile Bridge to south of Deerfield Beach * Lake Okeechobee A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola and in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys should monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located in the Gulf of Gonave near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 74.3 West. Matthew is moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h). On this track the eye of Matthew will move over the Windward Passage and eastern Cuba today. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected by Wednesday, followed by a northwest turn Wednesday night. Matthew is expected to move near or over portions of the southeastern and central Bahamas tonight and Wednesday, and approach the northwestern Bahamas Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds remain near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir- Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through at least Wednesday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are already affecting the southwestern portion of Haiti, and these conditions will spread northward today. Hurricane conditions are expected to reach eastern Cuba later today, the southeastern Bahamas Tuesday evening, the central Bahamas on Wednesday, and the northwestern Bahamas Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading across the remainder of Haiti today, eastern Cuba later this morning, the southeastern Bahamas later today, and the central and northwestern Bahamas Tuesday night and Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions the Dominican Republic within the warning area today, and will spread northward into the Turks and Caicos Islands tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas in Cuba tonight with tropical storm conditions possible later today. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area in Florida by late Thursday, with tropical storm conditions possible by early Thursday. Tropical storm condition are also possible in the Florida tropical storm watch area by early Thursday. RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in the following areas: Southern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic...15 to 25 inches, isolated 40 inches Eastern Cuba and northwestern Haiti...8 to 12 inches, isolated 20 inches Eastern Jamaica...4 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches The Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches Turks and Caicos Islands...2 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches Northeastern Haiti and the Northern Dominican Republic...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches Western Jamaica...1 to 2 inches, isolated 3 inches Upper Florida Keys northward to coastal east-central Florida....4 to 7 inches, isolated 10 inches Middle to Lower Florida Keys....1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely from this rainfall in southern and northwestern Haiti, the southwestern Dominican Republic, and eastern Cuba. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the following amounts above normal tide levels... Southern Coast of Cuba east of Cabo Cruz...7 to 11 feet South Coast of Haiti...7 to 10 feet Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet Jamaica...2 to 4 feet Gulf of Gonave in Haiti...3 to 5 feet Southern coast of the Dominican Republic...1 to 3 feet The Bahamas...10 to 15 feet Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of the center. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions of the coasts of Hispaniola, Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and the Caribbean coastline of Central America during the next few days. Swells from Matthew will begin affecting portions of the Bahamas on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26

2016-10-04 17:00:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 041500 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEWARK NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) NWS EARLE NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) PHILADELPHIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) DOVER DE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ANNAPOLIS MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 14(24) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 17(30) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 9(23) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) PAX RIVER NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 17(31) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 3(16) CHARLOTTESVIL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 7(26) RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) RICHMOND VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 3(25) DANVILLE VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 14(36) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 16(38) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 16(38) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 16(43) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 3(27) GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 5(36) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 9(40) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) ROCKY MT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 16(44) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 35(41) 6(47) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 2(16) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 2(28) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) 11(49) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 9(24) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 11(48) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 9(24) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 34(39) 10(49) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 9(24) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 38(45) 9(54) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 7(27) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 38(47) 8(55) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 6(27) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 38(50) 6(56) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 6(30) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 3(17) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 37(48) 4(52) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 1(19) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 29(38) 2(40) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 40(53) 5(58) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 5(30) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 2(15) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 40(54) 5(59) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 5(31) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 40(59) 4(63) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) 3(32) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 1(16) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 35(60) 3(63) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) 2(33) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 1(17) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 32(59) 2(61) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 20(28) 1(29) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 24(34) 1(35) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 29(58) 2(60) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 16(25) 1(26) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) 22(62) 1(63) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 13(27) X(27) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 20(45) 1(46) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 43(44) 20(64) 1(65) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 13(30) 1(31) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) X(15) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) 19(59) 1(60) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 11(24) X(24) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) 13(48) 1(49) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 51(57) 12(69) 1(70) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 9(36) 1(37) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 38(41) 11(52) 1(53) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 5(17) X(17) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 46(54) 10(64) X(64) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 6(28) X(28) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 51(65) 8(73) 1(74) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 33(35) 6(41) X(41) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 4(22) 1(23) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 51(65) 8(73) X(73) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 6(40) 1(41) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 4(22) X(22) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 46(68) 5(73) X(73) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) 5(43) X(43) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 2(23) 1(24) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) 33(66) 4(70) X(70) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 29(37) 3(40) X(40) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 2(20) X(20) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 27(33) 26(59) 3(62) X(62) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 19(28) 1(29) X(29) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) X(15) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 24(30) 21(51) 2(53) X(53) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 2(22) X(22) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 10(23) 1(24) X(24) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 17(26) 4(30) X(30) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 21(29) 3(32) X(32) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 5(26) X(26) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 6(32) X(32) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 8(30) 1(31) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 1(15) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) 1(16) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 13(13) 47(60) 27(87) 2(89) X(89) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 33(62) 2(64) X(64) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 29(43) 1(44) X(44) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 5( 5) 48(53) 33(86) 5(91) X(91) X(91) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) 23(23) 37(60) 9(69) X(69) X(69) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) 10(10) 32(42) 7(49) X(49) X(49) ANDROS 34 1 7( 8) 50(58) 18(76) 3(79) X(79) X(79) ANDROS 50 X X( X) 24(24) 21(45) 3(48) X(48) X(48) ANDROS 64 X X( X) 10(10) 16(26) 4(30) X(30) X(30) GREAT EXUMA 34 3 51(54) 40(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) GREAT EXUMA 50 X 16(16) 62(78) 4(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) GREAT EXUMA 64 X 5( 5) 54(59) 6(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) SAN SALVADOR 34 3 47(50) 38(88) 2(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) SAN SALVADOR 50 X 9( 9) 40(49) 3(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) SAN SALVADOR 64 X 2( 2) 22(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) MAYAGUANA 34 36 43(79) 2(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) MAYAGUANA 50 2 18(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MAYAGUANA 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GRAND TURK 34 12 11(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAMAGUEY 34 3 5( 8) 7(15) 3(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) CAMAGUEY 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 72 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) GUANTANAMO BAY 64 16 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MONTEGO BAY 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KINGSTON 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LES CAYES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LES CAYES 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LES CAYES 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE BEATA 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PUERTO PLATA 34 6 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SANTO DOMINGO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 26

2016-10-04 16:57:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 041457 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM DEERFIELD BEACH...FLORIDA TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN... GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA... ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY... SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY * DEERFIELD BEACH TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI * SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 74.3W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 210SE 180SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 74.3W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 74.3W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.3N 74.3W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.0N 74.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 24.0N 76.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.6N 77.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.5N 79.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...210NE 200SE 110SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 34.0N 78.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 39.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 74.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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