je.st
news
Tag: hurricane
Hurricane Teddy Public Advisory Number 35
2020-09-21 04:51:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 20 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 210251 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Teddy Advisory Number 35 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 20 2020 ...TEDDY TURNING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST... ...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS FORECAST ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC BEACHES FOR SEVERAL DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.4N 63.6W ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Lower East Pubnico to Canso Nova Scotia A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the progress of Teddy. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located near latitude 29.4 North, longitude 63.6 West. Teddy is moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a northward turn is expected Monday. This general motion should continue through Tuesday evening. Teddy is approaching Bermuda from the southeast, and the center should pass east of the island Monday morning. Teddy is forecast to be approaching Nova Scotia late Tuesday or early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible Monday night while Teddy begins to interact with an approaching frontal system. Although gradual weakening is forecast to begin mid-week, the cyclone is expected to remain a large and powerful hurricane Tuesday, then become a strong post-tropical cyclone by Wednesday morning. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to affect Bermuda overnight and could continue into Monday night. Tropical storm conditions could begin over Nova Scotia on Tuesday afternoon. SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: From Tuesday through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: number
public
advisory
hurricane
Hurricane Teddy Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35
2020-09-21 04:51:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 21 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 210251 PWSAT5 HURRICANE TEDDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0300 UTC MON SEP 21 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 4(26) X(26) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 5(41) X(41) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 51(51) 4(55) X(55) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 3(19) X(19) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 58(62) 1(63) X(63) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) X(26) X(26) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 58(61) 2(63) X(63) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 1(24) X(24) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 36(59) X(59) X(59) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 43(76) 1(77) X(77) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 39(44) X(44) X(44) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) X(19) X(19) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 17(50) X(50) X(50) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) X(15) X(15) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) X(32) X(32) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) X(25) X(25) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 12(25) X(25) X(25) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BERMUDA 34 78 15(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) BERMUDA 50 16 31(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) BERMUDA 64 1 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Tags: number
speed
wind
hurricane
Hurricane Teddy Forecast Advisory Number 35
2020-09-21 04:50:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 21 2020 532 WTNT25 KNHC 210250 TCMAT5 HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0300 UTC MON SEP 21 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LOWER EAST PUBNICO TO CANSO NOVA SCOTIA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TEDDY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 63.6W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..510NE 360SE 360SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 63.6W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 63.7W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 30.9N 63.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 200SE 160SW 260NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 34.8N 62.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...280NE 200SE 200SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.5N 63.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 50 KT...180NE 130SE 120SW 160NW. 34 KT...390NE 310SE 300SW 310NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 41.3N 64.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 280SE 280SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 44.5N 62.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...200NE 270SE 210SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 48.6N 59.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 180SE 130SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 57.4N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 63.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
hurricane
Hurricane Teddy Graphics
2020-09-21 02:15:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 21 Sep 2020 00:15:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 20 Sep 2020 21:25:44 GMT
Tags: graphics
hurricane
teddy
hurricane graphics
Summary for Hurricane Teddy (AT5/AL202020)
2020-09-21 01:52:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING TEDDY... ...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS FORECAST ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC BEACHES FOR SEVERAL DAYS... As of 8:00 PM AST Sun Sep 20 the center of Teddy was located near 29.3, -63.4 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 964 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.
Tags: summary
hurricane
teddy
at5al202020
Sites : [443] [444] [445] [446] [447] [448] [449] [450] [451] [452] [453] [454] [455] [456] [457] [458] [459] [460] [461] [462] next »