je.st
news
Tag: hurricane
Hurricane Teddy Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31
2020-09-20 04:53:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 20 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 200253 PWSAT5 HURRICANE TEDDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0300 UTC SUN SEP 20 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 3(28) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 45(48) 3(51) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 50(54) 3(57) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 2(24) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 49(55) 1(56) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 2(28) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 38(55) X(55) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) X(23) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 44(63) 1(64) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) 1(30) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 24(66) 1(67) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 18(29) X(29) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 39(39) 21(60) X(60) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 14(27) X(27) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 7(30) 1(31) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 14(23) X(23) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) X(18) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 3 18(21) 24(45) 6(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) BERMUDA 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
speed
wind
hurricane
Summary for Hurricane Teddy (AT5/AL202020)
2020-09-20 04:53:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...POWERFUL HURRICANE TEDDY CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD... ...CAUSING RIP CURRENTS THAT WILL AFFECT MOST WESTERN ATLANTIC COASTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND... As of 11:00 PM AST Sat Sep 19 the center of Teddy was located near 27.3, -61.2 with movement NW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 956 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 115 mph.
Tags: summary
hurricane
teddy
at5al202020
Hurricane Teddy Public Advisory Number 31
2020-09-20 04:53:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 19 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 200253 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Teddy Advisory Number 31 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 19 2020 ...POWERFUL HURRICANE TEDDY CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD... ...CAUSING RIP CURRENTS THAT WILL AFFECT MOST WESTERN ATLANTIC COASTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.3N 61.2W ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area, generally within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 61.2 West. Teddy is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue into Sunday. A turn toward the north is expected by Sunday night followed by a faster northward motion early next week. On the forecast track, Teddy will approach Bermuda on Sunday night, and the center will pass just east of the island Monday morning. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Teddy is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. A weakening trend is expected to begin Sunday night. Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). Teddy's wind field is likely to become even larger over the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to affect Bermuda beginning Sunday night and could linger into Monday night. SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting the Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the United States. Swells from Teddy should reach Atlantic Canada by early Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
public
advisory
hurricane
Hurricane Teddy Forecast Advisory Number 31
2020-09-20 04:52:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 20 2020 417 WTNT25 KNHC 200252 TCMAT5 HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0300 UTC SUN SEP 20 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 61.2W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT.......130NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT.......220NE 200SE 140SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 390SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 61.2W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 60.8W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 28.3N 62.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 29.6N 63.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 31.6N 62.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...260NE 220SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 35.7N 61.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. 34 KT...320NE 230SE 240SW 290NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 39.7N 62.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...170NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. 34 KT...350NE 330SE 270SW 320NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 42.5N 62.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW. 34 KT...350NE 310SE 250SW 270NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 49.5N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 57.0N 42.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 61.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
hurricane
Hurricane Teddy Graphics
2020-09-20 01:52:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2020 23:52:38 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2020 21:25:40 GMT
Tags: graphics
hurricane
teddy
hurricane graphics
Sites : [450] [451] [452] [453] [454] [455] [456] [457] [458] [459] [460] [461] [462] [463] [464] [465] [466] [467] [468] [469] next »