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Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Graphics

2018-05-12 04:33:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 12 May 2018 02:33:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 12 May 2018 03:24:26 GMT

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Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Forecast Discussion Number 6

2018-05-12 04:32:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 120232 TCDEP1 Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012018 800 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 The depression has degenerated to a remnant low pressure area due to the lack of organized convection during the past 12 h and ongoing 40 kt of westerly shear. Continued weakening of the system is expected, and the remnant low is forecast to dissipate completely after 24 h. The low is expected to move slowly northwestward until dissipation. This is the last advisory on this system issued by the National Hurricane Center. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/0300Z 12.9N 130.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 12/1200Z 13.3N 130.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 13/0000Z 13.9N 130.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven

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Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2018-05-12 04:32:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT MAY 12 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 120232 PWSEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012018 0300 UTC SAT MAY 12 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E (EP1/EP012018)

2018-05-12 04:32:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA... As of 8:00 PM PDT Fri May 11 the center of One-E was located near 12.9, -130.2 with movement WNW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

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Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Public Advisory Number 6

2018-05-12 04:32:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 120232 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012018 800 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 ...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.9N 130.2W ABOUT 1500 MI...2415 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E was located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 130.2 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and a decrease in forward speed are expected during the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipated completely Saturday night or Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Beven

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