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Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Forecast Advisory Number 6

2018-05-12 04:32:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT MAY 12 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 120231 TCMEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012018 0300 UTC SAT MAY 12 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 130.2W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 130.2W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 130.0W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.3N 130.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 13.9N 130.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 130.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Depression One-E Graphics

2018-05-11 22:59:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 11 May 2018 20:59:53 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 11 May 2018 21:22:40 GMT

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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Discussion Number 5

2018-05-11 22:58:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 112058 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012018 200 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 The prevailing strong westerly wind shear removed all the convection from the depression, which now consists of a tight swirl of low clouds. Since the swirl is becoming less defined on satellite, the initial intensity has been lowered to 25 kt, with some possible higher gusts. Isolated and intermittent bursts of convection could still occur, but given the hostile environment, the NHC forecast calls for the depression to become a remnant low tonight. None the intensity guidance suggest reintensification of this system. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest at about 3 kt embedded within a light steering flow. This slow general motion is expected to continue until dissipation. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/2100Z 12.8N 129.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 12/0600Z 13.2N 130.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/1800Z 14.0N 130.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila

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Tropical Depression One-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2018-05-11 22:58:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI MAY 11 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 112058 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012018 2100 UTC FRI MAY 11 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Summary for Tropical Depression One-E (EP1/EP012018)

2018-05-11 22:58:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT... As of 2:00 PM PDT Fri May 11 the center of One-E was located near 12.8, -129.5 with movement WNW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

Tags: summary tropical depression tropical depression

 

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