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Tropical Depression ONE-E Graphics
2016-06-08 11:06:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 08 Jun 2016 08:35:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 08 Jun 2016 09:03:37 GMT
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2016-06-08 10:34:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUN 08 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 080834 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 0900 UTC WED JUN 08 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Forecast Discussion Number 7
2016-06-08 10:34:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT WED JUN 08 2016 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 080834 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 400 AM CDT WED JUN 08 2016 Mexican surface and radar data, along with recent ASCAT overpasses, indicate that the center of the depression is now near the coast of Mexico in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. The scatterometer data suggests that the maximum winds are at most 25 kt. The depression is expected to move inland later today and dissipate over southeastern Mexico in less than 24 hours. The initial motion is a northward drift or 360/2. A northward to north-northeastward drift should continue until dissipation. While the associated convection has been minimal for the past few hours, there is a continued heavy rainfall threat from this system. This rainfall will be enhanced by the moist southwest flow over the high terrain of southern Mexico and western Guatemala where flash floods and mud slides are anticipated. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0900Z 16.1N 94.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 08/1800Z 16.4N 94.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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Summary for Tropical Depression ONE-E (EP1/EP012016)
2016-06-08 10:33:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...CENTER OF THE WEAK DEPRESSION JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... As of 4:00 AM CDT Wed Jun 8 the center of ONE-E was located near 16.1, -94.8 with movement N at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Public Advisory Number 7
2016-06-08 10:33:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT WED JUN 08 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 080833 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 400 AM CDT WED JUN 08 2016 ...CENTER OF THE WEAK DEPRESSION JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 94.8W ABOUT 25 MI...45 KM ESE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 94.8 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h) and a slow notion toward the north or north-northeast is expected to today and tonight. This motion should bring the center of the depression inland over southeastern Mexico later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is expected to dissipate tonight as it moves across southeastern Mexico. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches over portions of southeastern Mexico. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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