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Tropical Depression One-E Public Advisory Number 5
2018-05-11 22:58:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 112058 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012018 200 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.8N 129.5W ABOUT 1460 MI...2355 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E was located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 129.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). This motion is expected to continue during the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Advisory Number 5
2018-05-11 22:58:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI MAY 11 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 112058 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012018 2100 UTC FRI MAY 11 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 129.5W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 129.5W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 129.4W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 13.2N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.0N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 129.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression One-E Graphics
2018-05-11 16:32:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 11 May 2018 14:32:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 11 May 2018 14:32:54 GMT
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Discussion Number 4
2018-05-11 16:32:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Fri May 11 2018 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 111432 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012018 800 AM PDT Fri May 11 2018 The depression consists of a tight swirl of low clouds located to the west of the deep convection, which has been pulsing for the past several hours. At this time, the low-level center is moving away from the remaining thunderstorm activity. Satellite intensity estimates have not changed, and the winds are still estimated at 30 kt. Belligerently unfavorable westerly shear of about 45 kt is forecast to affect the depression, and with such an environment, I have no option but to forecast that the cyclone will degenerate into a remnant low within the next 12 hours or so. Satellite fixes suggest that the depression in moving toward the west or 280 degrees at about 4 kt. The depression or its remnants will continue to move slowly, and will likely turn toward the northwest and north embedded within light steering currents. This is the solution provided by the track guidance. However, if the system opens up into a trough sooner, it is more reasonable to expected a westward drift instead. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/1500Z 12.7N 129.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 12/0000Z 13.0N 129.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/1200Z 13.5N 130.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 13/0000Z 14.0N 130.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 13/1200Z 14.5N 130.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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Summary for Tropical Depression One-E (EP1/EP012018)
2018-05-11 16:31:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HANGING IN THERE BUT NOT FOR LONG... As of 8:00 AM PDT Fri May 11 the center of One-E was located near 12.7, -129.0 with movement W at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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