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Tropical Depression ONE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2016-06-08 04:34:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUN 08 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 080234 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 0300 UTC WED JUN 08 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Forecast Advisory Number 6
2016-06-08 04:34:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUN 08 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 080234 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 0300 UTC WED JUN 08 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 94.6W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 94.6W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 94.7W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.3N 94.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.5N 94.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 94.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Graphics
2016-06-08 01:33:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 07 Jun 2016 23:33:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 07 Jun 2016 21:05:11 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression ONE-E (EP1/EP012016)
2016-06-08 01:32:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION LOSING ORGANIZATION BUT STILL SOAKING SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND WESTERN GUATEMALA... As of 7:00 PM CDT Tue Jun 7 the center of ONE-E was located near 15.6, -94.6 with movement NE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression ONE-E Public Advisory Number 5A
2016-06-08 01:32:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 072332 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 700 PM CDT TUE JUN 07 2016 ...DEPRESSION LOSING ORGANIZATION BUT STILL SOAKING SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND WESTERN GUATEMALA... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 94.6W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for... * Salina Cruz to Boca De Pijijiapan A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E was estimated near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 94.6 West. The depression is drifting northeastward near 5 mph (8 km/h), and little motion is anticipated during the next few hours. A turn toward the north is expected later tonight or Wednesday. Maximum sustained remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring over water to the east and southeast of the center. The depression appears to be losing organization and the tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate either over the Gulf of Tehuantepec or just inland over southern Mexico by Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over the Mexican states of Oaxaca and Chiapas, and 2 to 4 inches over the Mexican states of Tabasco and eastern Veracruz, and over western Guatemala. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in Oaxaca and Chiapas. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds, primarily in gusts, are possible in the watch area today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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