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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Public Advisory Number 5
2015-07-13 16:50:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT MON JUL 13 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 131450 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 800 AM PDT MON JUL 13 2015 ...TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD - NO THREAT TO LAND... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 126.6W ABOUT 1190 MI...1915 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 126.6 West. Enrique is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). The tropical storm is expected to gradually turn toward the west-northwest at about the same rate of forward speed by Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea
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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Graphics
2015-07-13 10:44:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 13 Jul 2015 08:43:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 13 Jul 2015 08:43:25 GMT
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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Forecast Discussion Number 4
2015-07-13 10:42:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT MON JUL 13 2015 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 130842 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 200 AM PDT MON JUL 13 2015 Satellite images indicate that the cyclone has become a bit better organized with a growing curved band in the southern semicircle and more persistent convection near the center. Given the improved satellite presentation and the 35-kt Dvorak estimates, I've elected to upgrade the depression to Enrique for this advisory. The tropical storm has a day or two to strengthen before it moves into an area of cooler SSTs, drier air, and higher vertical wind shear. Most of the guidance support some intensification, so the intensity forecast will remain close to the previous one, on the higher side of the model envelope. After a bit of a northward jump, Enrique appears to be moving northwestward at about 9 kt. The track should gradually bend back to the west-northwest over the next couple of days while the storm is steered by a building mid-level ridge. The long-range forecast is rather uncertain due to possible interactions with both Dolores to the east and a mid-latitude trough to the north. Overall, the guidance has shifted north and west at most of the forecast points, and the NHC track prediction follows suit, lying near or just to the southeast of the consensus at most forecast times. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0900Z 15.2N 126.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 13/1800Z 16.1N 127.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 14/0600Z 16.8N 128.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 14/1800Z 17.4N 130.4W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 15/0600Z 17.8N 131.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 16/0600Z 18.5N 135.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 17/0600Z 19.5N 137.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 120H 18/0600Z 19.3N 138.0W 35 KT 40 MPH $$ Forecaster Blake
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Summary for Tropical Storm ENRIQUE (EP1/EP062015)
2015-07-13 10:40:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ENRIQUE BECOMES THE FIFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON... As of 2:00 AM PDT Mon Jul 13 the center of ENRIQUE was located near 15.2, -126.4 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Public Advisory Number 4
2015-07-13 10:40:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT MON JUL 13 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 130840 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 200 AM PDT MON JUL 13 2015 ...ENRIQUE BECOMES THE FIFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 126.4W ABOUT 1200 MI...1930 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 126.4 West. Enrique is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A northwestward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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