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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2015-07-14 22:39:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 142039 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Forecast Advisory Number 10
2015-07-14 22:38:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 142038 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062015 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 130.5W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 130.5W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 130.1W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.8N 131.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N 133.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.0N 134.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.5N 135.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.0N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 20.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 20.5N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 130.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Summary for Tropical Storm ENRIQUE (EP1/EP062015)
2015-07-14 16:36:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ENRIQUE OVER OPEN WATERS... As of 8:00 AM PDT Tue Jul 14 the center of ENRIQUE was located near 18.1, -129.6 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Graphics
2015-07-14 16:35:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2015 14:35:34 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2015 14:32:49 GMT
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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE Graphics
2015-07-14 11:21:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2015 08:36:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 14 Jul 2015 09:09:21 GMT
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