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Tropical Depression THREE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2014-06-09 22:32:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 09 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 092032 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 2100 UTC MON JUN 09 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) MANZANILLO 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) L CARDENAS 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ACAPULCO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 14(34) X(34) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 3(19) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tags: number
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tropical
Tropical Depression THREE-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2014-06-09 22:30:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 09 2014 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 092030 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 2100 UTC MON JUN 09 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 102.0W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 102.0W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.8W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.5N 102.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.6N 103.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.7N 105.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.9N 106.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.6N 109.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.6N 112.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 18.7N 114.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 102.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression BORIS Graphics
2014-06-04 17:07:31| Tropical Depression LIDIA
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 04 Jun 2014 14:41:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 04 Jun 2014 15:03:46 GMT
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boris
Tropical Depression BORIS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2014-06-04 16:40:32| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 04 2014
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speed
wind
tropical
Tropical Depression BORIS Forecast Discussion Number 8
2014-06-04 16:40:18| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 800 AM PDT WED JUN 04 2014
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discussion
tropical
depression
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