je.st
news
Tag: depression
Summary for Tropical Depression Carlos (EP3/EP032021)
2021-06-15 22:39:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...CARLOS BARELY HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE... As of 2:00 PM PDT Tue Jun 15 the center of Carlos was located near 9.8, -133.5 with movement WSW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
carlos
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Carlos Public Advisory Number 13
2021-06-15 22:39:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 152039 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Carlos Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032021 200 PM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 ...CARLOS BARELY HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.8N 133.5W ABOUT 1800 MI...2900 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlos was located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 133.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A continued westward motion along with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Carlos is expected to degenerate into a remnant low tonight or tomorrow and dissipate in a few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: number
public
carlos
advisory
Tropical Depression Carlos Forecast Advisory Number 13
2021-06-15 22:38:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 152038 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032021 2100 UTC TUE JUN 15 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 133.5W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 133.5W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 133.1W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 9.6N 134.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 9.4N 135.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 9.5N 137.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 9.7N 138.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 10.0N 139.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 133.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Tags: number
carlos
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Carlos Graphics
2021-06-15 16:34:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 14:34:17 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 15 Jun 2021 14:34:17 GMT
Tags: graphics
carlos
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Carlos Forecast Discussion Number 12
2021-06-15 16:33:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 151433 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Carlos Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032021 800 AM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 Several hours ago there was a burst of deep convection near the center of Carlos. Although cloud tops are beginning to warm, this convection gave Carlos a little more time as a tropical cyclone. There has been no new ASCAT data since early yesterday to confirm the strength of the cyclone's winds, and so the initial intensity is set at a somewhat uncertain 30 kt for this advisory, which is in agreement with the CIMSS ADT. Carlos has begun to turn back to the west and is now on a heading of 260/9 kt. This general motion, except for perhaps a slight decrease in forward speed is expected for the remainder of the cyclone's existence, as it is steered by a low- to mid-level ridge to its north. The latest NHC track forecast is little changed from the previous one and lies near the multi-model consensus. Dry and stable air along with strong vertical wind shear that have been disrupting the depression's convection will continue to affect the cyclone for the foreseeable future. Due to the warm underlying waters, there still may be some short-lived convective bursts near the center of Carlos over the next couple of days. In about 2 days, the shear vector will shift from southwest to northwest as an upper trough north of the depression shifts east. This subsident pattern should put an end to any chances for organized deep convection to return. The NHC forecast calls for Carlos to degenerate into a remnant low by 24 h. However, that timing is uncertain, and Carlos could remain a tropical cyclone until the upper-level flow shifts in a couple of days. Once a remnant low, the system should dissipate within a day or two. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/1500Z 10.0N 132.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 16/0000Z 9.8N 133.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 16/1200Z 9.7N 135.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 17/0000Z 9.7N 136.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 17/1200Z 9.7N 138.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 18/0000Z 9.9N 139.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: number
discussion
carlos
tropical
Sites : [172] [173] [174] [175] [176] [177] [178] [179] [180] [181] [182] [183] [184] [185] [186] [187] [188] [189] [190] [191] next »