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Tropical Depression Claudette Graphics

2021-06-20 01:46:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Jun 2021 23:46:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Jun 2021 21:22:41 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression Claudette (AT3/AL032021)

2021-06-20 01:45:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...CENTER OF CLAUDETTE NOW MOVING INTO WESTERN ALABAMA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S... As of 7:00 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 the center of Claudette was located near 32.4, -87.7 with movement NE at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Claudette Public Advisory Number 9A

2021-06-20 01:45:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 700 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 000 WTNT33 KNHC 192345 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Claudette Intermediate Advisory Number 9A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032021 700 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 ...CENTER OF CLAUDETTE NOW MOVING INTO WESTERN ALABAMA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.4N 87.7W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NNE OF MOBILE ALABAMA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cape Fear to Duck, North Carolina * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36 to 48 hours. Interests elsewhere across the southeast U.S. should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Claudette was located near latitude 32.4 North, longitude 87.7 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the east-northeast is expected tonight and Sunday. On the forecast track, the system should move farther inland across portions of the southeast U.S. through Sunday night, and over the western Atlantic Ocean on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring mainly over water well to the south of the center. Claudette is expected to weaken a little tonight, however, it is forecast to become a tropical storm again when it moves across the Carolinas Sunday night or early Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Claudette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Claudette is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches across eastern Alabama, northern Georgia, the Florida Panhandle, and South and North Carolina. Flash, urban and small stream flooding impacts as well as new and renewed minor to isolated moderate river flooding are likely across these areas. The storm total rainfall is expected to be 5 to 10 inches with isolated 15 inch totals in southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and the western Florida panhandle. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Cape Lookout, NC to NC/VA Border...1-3 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area Sunday night and Monday. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across southeast Alabama, the western Florida Panhandle, and southwest Georgia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Depression Claudette Graphics

2021-06-19 22:37:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Jun 2021 20:37:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Jun 2021 20:37:40 GMT

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Tropical Depression Claudette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2021-06-19 22:33:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 000 FONT13 KNHC 192033 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CLAUDETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032021 2100 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CLAUDETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) X(19) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 29(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 16(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 13(13) 13(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 11(11) 23(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 13(13) 20(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 22(22) 10(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 23(23) 6(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 28(28) 4(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FLORENCE SC 34 X 1( 1) 22(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 5( 5) 12(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 29(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 28(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ATLANTA GA 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 13(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COLUMBUS GA 34 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MONTGOMERY AL 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) WHITING FLD FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PENSACOLA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOBILE AL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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